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SEA Weekly - Episode 16: What's Driving ASEAN Supply Chain Risk Repricing Across Frontier Markets

**June 14, 2026**The best supply chain news ASEAN frontier markets have had all year landed on Friday night — a US-Iran peace deal that could unwind the Strait of Hormuz risk premium. But Miguel Santos argues the peace deal only fixes one axis. Governance risk — in Myanmar, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines — is now repricing upward on its own axis, and the two vectors do not cancel. Emily Chen hosts Miguel Santos for a deep dive into the multi-axis risk model: why energy costs may be heading down, but the net risk premium for frontier supply chains may not fall nearly as much as a…

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