Wargaming's Methodology, Not Magic

Logosofia no Dia a Dia · Apr 9, 2026 · 33m

Before plugging personas into an LLM, it helps to know what makes a wargame a serious decision-support tool. This episode traces the history and standards of professional wargaming—from the Naval War College and RAND to MORS and CSIS—and explains why most AI simulations skip the rigor of adjudication, repeatability, and structured output. We explore the difference between insight and prediction, why BOGSAT isn't a methodology, and what modern think tanks are doing to set a benchmark for transparency. Episode 2137 — myweirdprompts.com/n/2137 (permanent short link: myweirdprompts.com/062927)