Latest / Connecting the Dots / AI Hits the Big Screen, Earthquake Alert Gaps, and Tariffs Reshape Fast Fashion
Transcript
- 0:00Today's tech news moves fast, but understanding
- 0:03it shouldn't be hard. That's why Snarfl Solutions
- 0:06Group brings you Connecting the Docs, where we
- 0:09break down what's happening in tech and why it
- 0:11matters to you. Now, let's dive in with your
- 0:14hosts. Welcome, everyone. Thanks for tuning in.
- 0:17We're here to connect the docs on today's tech
- 0:19news using the latest insights from our Morningstar
- 0:22report. We'll break down what's happening and
- 0:25really get into why it matters for you. It is
- 0:27Monday, July 28th. 2025 it is indeed and it's
- 0:31a lovely sunny day out here in Sacramento Going
- 0:34up to about 92 Fahrenheit later. Pretty nice.
- 0:36Sounds perfect. Okay quick look at the markets
- 0:39this morning The Dow is up just a tiny bit plus
- 0:4215 points or so S &P 500 also slightly up about
- 0:47point one three percent Bitcoin though is down
- 0:49over one percent sitting around a hundred and
- 0:52eighteen thousand. Okay bit of a dip there Yeah,
- 0:55and closer to home for our baseball fans Tough
- 0:59night for the Giants. Oh, no, don't tell me.
- 1:01Yeah, lost 3 -5 to the Mets yesterday, and the
- 1:03Mets completed the sweep, so rough weekend for
- 1:06the Giants faithful. That's a tough break. Always
- 1:09hard to see a sweep. Definitely. But all right,
- 1:11let's ship gears. We've got three big topics
- 1:13from the Morningstar report we want to untag
- 1:14today. Right. First, we're looking at AI and
- 1:17filmmaking, some really interesting developments
- 1:19there. Then a pretty serious update. on Google's
- 1:23earthquake alert system. Yeah, that was crucial.
- 1:25And finally, we'll talk about how new tariffs
- 1:27are hitting fast fashion, specifically companies
- 1:30like Sheen. OK, let's jump into that first one.
- 1:33AI in filmmaking. I saw this news about IMAX
- 1:36teaming up with Runway AI. They're screening
- 1:38AI Film Festival finalists. That's right. Ten
- 1:41finalists at ten IMAX locations across the U
- 1:44.S. They're a pretty big signal showing how fast
- 1:46this tech is moving into, well, more mainstream
- 1:49spaces. It feels like it exploded, right? Runway's
- 1:52festival is only, what, three years old? Exactly,
- 1:54third year. And the growth is just wow. In 2023,
- 1:58they had around 300 films submitted. OK. This
- 2:00year, six thousand. Whoa. Six thousand that's
- 2:04huge. It's massive the CEO Cristobal Valenzuela
- 2:07He put it really well said something like three
- 2:10years ago. This was such a crazy idea today Millions
- 2:13of people are making billions of videos using
- 2:15tools. We only dreamed of incredible leap So
- 2:18what are these AI films actually like is it all
- 2:21just you know? Computers generating movies start
- 2:24to finish. That's a good question. It's actually
- 2:26more nuanced the films are really varied the
- 2:29top winner total pixel space is like almost nine
- 2:32and a half minutes long. Okay. And it explores
- 2:35this idea of how many images can even exist digitally,
- 2:38uses math for these huge numbers, described as
- 2:41having stunning visuals, kind of reality bending
- 2:44stuff. Huh, interesting. Then you've got totally
- 2:46different things like Jailbird, which is like
- 2:48a documentary about a chicken. in a UK prison,
- 2:52from the chicken's point of view. Okay, wow.
- 2:54A chicken documentary. Yeah. And another called
- 2:56One About Space Travel. The key thing is they
- 2:58don't have to be 100 % AI generated. Yeah. Mixed
- 3:01media is actually encouraged. So blending real
- 3:04shots with AI stuff, it's more about experimenting.
- 3:07Gotcha. So it's a tool, not necessarily a replacement
- 3:09for the filmmaker. How's the big industry like
- 3:12Hollywood taking all this? Are they seeing it
- 3:13as, you know, a threat or more of an opportunity?
- 3:16Well... From the executive side, it seems mostly
- 3:19like an opportunity. You know, efficiency, innovation.
- 3:24Professor Joshua Glick mentioned that AI is already
- 3:26way more involved than people think. Right. Not
- 3:29just the flashy stuff. Exactly. Not just de -aging
- 3:32actors or big CGI. It's in post -production,
- 3:35editing, digital touch -ups, even just sorting
- 3:38through mountains of footage. Studios see it
- 3:41as a way to speed things up, do things in minutes
- 3:43that took hours. Okay, efficiency makes sense
- 3:45from a business perspective, but that obviously
- 3:48brings up the other side, the concerns from workers,
- 3:51right? Yeah. Unions must have things to say.
- 3:52Oh, absolutely. Unions like IATA and SAG -AFTRA,
- 3:56they're very clear. They're okay with tech that
- 3:58helps tell stories, but they're pushing back
- 4:00hard against anything that undermines jobs or
- 4:02rights. They want guardrails. Makes sense, need
- 4:05protection. Yeah. But then you have the counterargument,
- 4:07like from Runway CEO Valenzuela, saying AI can
- 4:10help creatives, he kind of compares the fear
- 4:13now to fears people had about earlier film tech
- 4:16breakthroughs. History repeating itself, maybe.
- 4:19Maybe. And filmmaker Flying Lotus, Stephen Ellison,
- 4:22he talked about this idea of play around and
- 4:25find out. Like AI lets you stumble onto cool
- 4:28stuff, these hallucinatory dreamlike results
- 4:31you didn't plan. So it's like collaborating with
- 4:34the randomness of it. Kind of, yeah. It's less
- 4:36about total control and more about seeing what
- 4:39emerges. It's this interesting mix of human intent
- 4:42and well. AI weirdness that is where it gets
- 4:46really interesting that blend but you know thinking
- 4:49about AI relying on it for creative stuff is
- 4:51one thing what happens when we rely on it for
- 4:53something critical like safety and it well it
- 4:56drops the ball that's a perfect transition actually
- 4:58because our next story is exactly about that
- 5:01Google's Android earthquake alert system the
- 5:04AEA right the situation in Turkey last year they've
- 5:07admitted some pretty serious failures haven't
- 5:09they they have a huge failure really the system
- 5:11should have sent out about 10 million take action
- 5:14alerts the highest level warning during those
- 5:16devastating earthquakes 10 million and how many
- 5:19actually went out 469 wait 469 instead of 10
- 5:24million yeah instead it sent about half a million
- 5:27of the lower level be aware notifications wow
- 5:30that's That's staggering, especially given the
- 5:33timing, 4 .17 a .m., and the terrible human cost
- 5:37over 55 ,000 lives lost. Those high -level alerts
- 5:40could have made such a difference. Absolutely
- 5:43critical. Just to clarify the difference, take
- 5:45-action alerts are designed to be impossible
- 5:47to miss. Loud sound, overrides do not disturb,
- 5:50takes over your screen. Vital for waking people
- 5:53up. Be aware is much less intrusive. for lighter
- 5:55shaking. The AEA system itself, launched in 2020,
- 5:59is clever. It uses the motion sensors, the accelerometers,
- 6:02and Android phones. Right, crowdsourcing the
- 6:03detection. Exactly. It's active in almost 100
- 6:05countries. Yeah. But in this case, that massive
- 6:08network just didn't deliver the right warning
- 6:10to the vast majority of people who needed it
- 6:12most. So what went wrong? Why did it fail so
- 6:14badly? Google initially said it performed well,
- 6:16didn't they? They did initially, which makes
- 6:19the later admission even more stark. In a Science
- 6:22Magazine article, they finally detailed the limitations
- 6:24to the detection algorithms. Essentially, the
- 6:28system drastically underestimated the magnitude
- 6:31of that first 7 .8 quake. How badly? It judged
- 6:34it as being somewhere between 4 .5 and 4 .9 magnitude.
- 6:38Oh, wow. That's a huge difference. Huge. And
- 6:41even the second major quake later that day was
- 6:44underestimated. Though slightly more alerts went
- 6:46out than about 8 ,000 take action ones, still
- 6:49far short of what was needed. And it took them
- 6:50two years to release these details. Two years.
- 6:53Which is drawn criticism, as you can imagine.
- 6:56Yeah, understandably. So have they fixed it?
- 6:58What happens now? Well, they say they've revised
- 7:00the algorithms, they ran simulations with the
- 7:02new model, and now it shows it would have set
- 7:04the 10 million take action alerts and even more
- 7:06be -aware ones. Okay, so it should work better
- 7:09now. It should. But Google also points out that
- 7:12tuning these systems for massive quakes is a
- 7:14challenge for everyone in the field. It really
- 7:17highlights this black box issue with critical
- 7:19AI, doesn't it? How so? Well, even the developers
- 7:22sometimes struggle to pinpoint exactly why a
- 7:24failure occurred in such complex systems. And
- 7:27when lives are at stake, that's a serious problem.
- 7:30It raises questions about trust regulation and
- 7:34whether we're sometimes placing too much faith
- 7:36in tech that's still evolving. Yeah. And Google
- 7:38themselves say it's not supposed to replace official
- 7:40national systems. Right. But people might still
- 7:43rely on it. You know, it really makes you think
- 7:45about our dependence on these automated systems
- 7:47and emergencies. Definitely. And, you know, speaking
- 7:50of systems we rely on that are changing, let's
- 7:53talk about something maybe a bit more every day,
- 7:55but still impactful. Online shopping, specifically
- 7:59fast fashion and shine. Prices are going up.
- 8:03They are. Significantly. And it's tied directly
- 8:05to a change in U .S. tariff policy. The de minimis
- 8:08exemption. That's largely gone for shipments
- 8:11from China. Right. The rule that let individual
- 8:13packages under $800 come in duty free. Exactly.
- 8:16Shane and Tmoo2 build a huge part of their business
- 8:19model on that. Sending tons of small, cheap packages
- 8:22directly to consumers, bypassing import duties.
- 8:26In 2022, something like 83 % of all U .S. e -commerce
- 8:29imports use that loophole. And Shane and Ti Mu
- 8:32made up nearly a third of that. Wow. So they
- 8:35had a massive advantage. But that loophole closed.
- 8:38It did. The Trump administration closed it for
- 8:40China and Hong Kong shipments back on May 2nd,
- 8:432025. So now, those goods face tariffs could
- 8:47be 30 % on close, maybe even way higher in some
- 8:50cases. And we're seeing the effect already. Raiders
- 8:51did some price tracking. Yeah, they tracked about
- 8:53200 chine items from late April to late July.
- 8:56And the trend is pretty clear. What did they
- 8:58find? Well, there was a price spike right before
- 9:00the May 2nd deadline. Then a little dip, but
- 9:03prices climbed again through the summer. By late
- 9:05July, the average price for their cheaper stuff
- 9:07was up 12 .5 % compared to April. OK, 12 .5 %
- 9:11is noticeable. It is. And some examples were
- 9:13way more dramatic. They looked at 10 basic items.
- 9:16Their total cost went from $31 to $69 in less
- 9:18than three months. Whoa, over double. Yep, a
- 9:21123 % jump on that specific basket of goods.
- 9:24And it wasn't just the super cheap stuff. Higher
- 9:27priced items. like in the 80 to 270 dollar range,
- 9:31saw average prices go up about 23 percent. That's
- 9:34a real hit, especially for people who rely on
- 9:36those low prices. This must have broader implications,
- 9:39right? Absolutely. This isn't just about Shane's
- 9:41profits. Analysts point out that these price
- 9:44hikes hit lower income and minority communities
- 9:46harder, as they tend to rely more on these ultra
- 9:48low cost retailers. There was a National Bureau
- 9:51of Economic Research study that estimated ending
- 9:53de minimis could cost U .S. consumers somewhere
- 9:56between roughly 11 and 13 billion dollars overall.
- 10:00Billion, with a B. Billion. And poorer areas
- 10:02would feel more of that pain. An economist involved,
- 10:05Amit Khandewal from Yale, basically said it's
- 10:08good to raise prices, especially for lower income
- 10:09folks. It's a direct link between trade policy
- 10:11and the cost of everyday goods. So it really
- 10:14challenges Shane's whole approach. Cheap production,
- 10:16fast shipping, low friction. Totally. They're
- 10:19facing more delays, more costs, thinner margins.
- 10:22They have to pass some of that on, but they also
- 10:24risk losing their main appeal being cheap. Right.
- 10:27Tricky balance. Very. One logistics expert basically
- 10:30said, yeah, their margins will shrink, prices
- 10:32will go up. Bloomberg even reported Shane briefly
- 10:36cut prices in mid -May, maybe to try and keep
- 10:38customers after the initial tariff shock. It
- 10:41shows they're scrambling a bit. And this might
- 10:42just be the beginning, right? There's talk of
- 10:44even more trade actions. Yeah, the administration
- 10:46has set goals, potentially a full ban on de minimis
- 10:49by 2027. So this era of just incredibly cheap.
- 10:53direct from China, fast fashion. Yeah. It might
- 10:56genuinely be winding down for millions of shoppers.
- 10:59Wow. Quite a shift. OK, so wrapping up today,
- 11:02we've touched on AIs growing, sometimes unpredictable
- 11:04role in creativity, the sobering lessons from
- 11:07when critical tech systems falter and how global
- 11:10trade policy is directly changing the price of
- 11:12things we buy online. Yeah, it really makes you
- 11:15think, doesn't it? With tech evolving so fast
- 11:17and global rules constantly shifting, how much
- 11:20trust should we place in automated systems, especially
- 11:22for safety? And how are these bigger economic
- 11:25forces going to change what we can access and
- 11:27afford? Debra, some things to chew on. What really
- 11:30stood out to you today? Lots to consider. We're
- 11:33here to help at Snarful, so reach out on our
- 11:35website if you have any more questions. That's
- 11:41a wrap on today's top stories. Remember, tech
- 11:43doesn't have to be complicated, and we're here
- 11:46to help connect the dots. If you've got questions
- 11:49or want to learn more, visit us at snarful .com.
- 11:52Thanks for listening, and we'll catch you next
- 11:54time.