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The $7 Billion Bet: Prediction Markets as Infrastructure
From the massive trading volumes of Polymarket to the institutional backing of the New York Stock Exchange’s parent company, prediction markets have officially entered the financial mainstream. This episode explores the convergence of traditional derivatives like Contracts for Difference (CFDs) with decentralized event contracts, a phenomenon now dubbed "information finance." We dive into the regulatory shifts at the CFTC, the staggering growth of the global derivatives market, and the ethical dilemmas of financializing geopolitical conflict. Are these markets the ultimate truth-seeking…
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