Latest / The Ben Ferguson Podcast / Booker Bombshell: Top Democrat Admits Party Is Losing Its Way as Infighting Explodes
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Let me first off say I hope you had a
- 0:03Speaker 1: great Memorial Day weekend, that you were safe and got
- 0:05Speaker 1: to remember so many of the brave men and women
- 0:08Speaker 1: that have given the ultimate sacrifice for this country. And
- 0:12Speaker 1: I just want to say thank you to anyone that
- 0:14Speaker 1: wears a uniform and a badge. God bless you, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: thank you for protecting and defitting this great country. Well,
- 0:21Speaker 1: the good news is if you're a Republican, there's a
- 0:24Speaker 1: full blown civil war unfolding inside the Democratic Party right now,
- 0:28Speaker 1: and it's not getting a lot of attention, but voters
- 0:31Speaker 1: are paying attention. And one of their own sinaters just
- 0:35Speaker 1: admitted it publicly. Corey Booker started talking openly about desperation
- 0:41Speaker 1: inside the Democratic Party. You know, the panic has moved
- 0:45Speaker 1: from private conversations behind closed doors now into public view.
- 0:51Speaker 1: And that's exactly what we witnessed in the last twenty
- 0:54Speaker 1: four hours. Corey Booker recently acknowledged that millions of americansions
- 1:00Speaker 1: of Democrats. Well, what's something they already know? The Democratic
- 1:03Speaker 1: Party is struggling to find not only new energy, but
- 1:07Speaker 1: new leadership and then a message that actually connects with
- 1:10Speaker 1: voters outside of the elite activist circles. Now, Booker's comments
- 1:16Speaker 1: about Democrats needing a new, fresh set of faces and
- 1:20Speaker 1: ideas may sound simple on the surface, but politically those
- 1:25Speaker 1: words are devastating to a party that thinks they're going
- 1:29Speaker 1: to clean up in the midterm elections. When a senior
- 1:32Speaker 1: Democrat says the party needs fresh faces, new faces, and
- 1:36Speaker 1: new ideas, what he's really saying is this, the current
- 1:40Speaker 1: leadership isn't working, the current strategy isn't working, and the
- 1:45Speaker 1: current leadership and strategy may be actually dragging the party
- 1:50Speaker 1: towards another election day disaster. Now, this isn't just about
- 1:55Speaker 1: one quote from Corey Booker either. This is about a
- 1:59Speaker 1: Democratic Party that is fractured in multiple competing factions, all
- 2:04Speaker 1: of them point the finger, all of them blaming each
- 2:07Speaker 1: other for why they're losing support with working class voters,
- 2:11Speaker 1: with independence, with Hispanic voters, with young men with suburban parents,
- 2:16Speaker 1: and even parts of their traditional urban coalitions, and the
- 2:21Speaker 1: end fighting is getting uglier by the day. I want
- 2:24Speaker 1: you to take a listen to what Corey Booker had
- 2:26Speaker 1: to say on TV as he described this publicly for
- 2:30Speaker 1: the first time. But before I get to that, I
- 2:32Speaker 1: also want to talk to you about the incredible work
- 2:35Speaker 1: that is being done by the International Fellowship of Christians
- 2:39Speaker 1: and Jews right now in Israel, and how you can
- 2:42Speaker 1: get involved to stand with so many that are hurting
- 2:45Speaker 1: as we speak. When you hear about Israel in the news,
- 2:47Speaker 1: it's easy to think of headlines politics, or another conflict
- 2:51Speaker 1: far away, But for families in Israel and Jews around
- 2:55Speaker 1: the world, this is incredibly personal. Anti Semitic attacks in
- 2:59Speaker 1: the Holy Land and across the globe are happening right now.
- 3:02Speaker 1: Elderly Holocaust survivors who endure so much already again.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Fear for their lives.
- 3:08Speaker 1: Jewish families are praying for the freedom to worship in safety,
- 3:12Speaker 1: and in moments like these, your voice matters because your
- 3:16Speaker 1: voice can remind them that they're not alone. The International
- 3:20Speaker 1: Fellowship of Christians and Jews and inviting you to leave
- 3:23Speaker 1: a personal prayer or message of encouragement that will be
- 3:26Speaker 1: delivered directly to someone in Israel who needs hope right now,
- 3:31Speaker 1: not filtered through the media, not lost online, but personally
- 3:35Speaker 1: delivered a simple prayer, a few heartfelt words they can
- 3:38Speaker 1: lift the spirit of someone facing fear, uncertainty, and isolation.
- 3:43Speaker 1: This is more than support this is standing with Israel
- 3:46Speaker 1: when it matters the most. Go to PREYIFCJ dot org.
- 3:51Speaker 1: That's prey, pr ay IFCJ dot org, and you can
- 3:55Speaker 1: submit your prayer today. That's prey if CJ dot org.
- 4:02Speaker 1: So take a listen Corey Booker in his own words,
- 4:06Speaker 1: talking about the Democratic Party and saying what many Democrats
- 4:10Speaker 1: wished he never would have talked about.
- 4:13Speaker 3: What's the message from Leader Schumer or Leader Jeffries on
- 4:17Speaker 3: helping the American people. I mean, I cover this for
- 4:21Speaker 3: a living, and I'm not sure there's a coherent message
- 4:23Speaker 3: about elect Democrats because this is what we're going to do.
- 4:26Speaker 2: I mean, I know you all hate Trump, but what else?
- 4:28Speaker 4: Well, that's again plainly what I've been saying. You are
- 4:31Speaker 4: not going to win this election just by what you're against.
- 4:33Speaker 4: You need to start articulating who you're for and what
- 4:36Speaker 4: you're for. Have a vision that's compelling that not only
- 4:39Speaker 4: engenders trust, but makes sense for the American people.
- 4:42Speaker 3: You still have faith in the Schumer to be in
- 4:44Speaker 3: charge of you.
- 4:45Speaker 4: I am telling people left and right, we are five
- 4:47Speaker 4: months out from election. What is going to make the
- 4:49Speaker 4: Republicans gleeful is if we're talking about each other in
- 4:52Speaker 4: the Democratic Party and not talking about the realities that
- 4:56Speaker 4: Americans are facing. I am tired of all this mass
- 5:00Speaker 4: about party politics. We are in a crisis right now,
- 5:05Speaker 4: millions of Americans losing their health insurance, their costs skyrocketing.
- 5:09Speaker 4: I talk to more and more New Jerseyans who are
- 5:11Speaker 4: barely staying afloat enough of normal party politics. We need
- 5:15Speaker 4: to focus on the people, and the Democratic Party desperately
- 5:19Speaker 4: needs new leadership. And that's what's exciting me about this cycle.
- 5:22Speaker 4: It's not only new leaders emerging, but a new vision
- 5:25Speaker 4: for our party. But you can damn well be sure
- 5:27Speaker 4: that I'm going to be talking about what our party
- 5:29Speaker 4: needs to do to change and what our party needs
- 5:31Speaker 4: to go. And the biggest issue for me and I
- 5:33Speaker 4: think what makes me frustrated with politics as usual, is
- 5:36Speaker 4: the massive corruption going on in all three branches. From
- 5:39Speaker 4: a Supreme Court that's taking unlimited gifts from billionaires who
- 5:43Speaker 4: have interest in matters before them, to congress people trading
- 5:46Speaker 4: stocks and accepting corporate cash and corporate pack money. To
- 5:50Speaker 4: a president who is setting records for being the greatest
- 5:52Speaker 4: grifter in chief we have ever seen. We need real
- 5:56Speaker 4: change that engenders trust again in American politics, but more
- 5:59Speaker 4: important and the people that are standing up right now.
- 6:03Speaker 1: Now the end fighting is getting uglier by the day.
- 6:06Speaker 1: You got one wing of the Democratic Party that says, well,
- 6:09Speaker 1: we've gone too radical, and then you have the other
- 6:11Speaker 1: side saying, are you kidding me, We're not radical enough?
- 6:15Speaker 1: And then one faction says the party has abandoned Middle America,
- 6:19Speaker 1: and another side of the party says, well, we just
- 6:22Speaker 1: spend too much time trying to appeal to moderate so
- 6:25Speaker 1: let's just stop doing that. And underneath all of this
- 6:29Speaker 1: is the brutal reality Democrats cannot escape. They still don't
- 6:33Speaker 1: know how Donald Trump keeps winning the political conversation. That's
- 6:38Speaker 1: the part that's driving them absolutely crazy because after years
- 6:42Speaker 1: of investigations, media attacks, impeachment efforts, even the criminal cases,
- 6:47Speaker 1: in the non stop political warfare, Trump still dominates the
- 6:51Speaker 1: national conversation. He still controls the Republican Party onlike any
- 6:55Speaker 1: political figure that we've seen literally in modern political American history.
- 7:02Speaker 1: And Democrats are looking around asking themselves the big question,
- 7:06Speaker 1: how are we losing ground after all of this? And
- 7:09Speaker 1: that's why Corey Booker's comments became so interesting, because what
- 7:13Speaker 1: he's really describing is a confidence crisis inside of his
- 7:18Speaker 1: own party. Just think about what Democrats are facing right now.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Twenty twenty four post election autopsy exposed major weaknesses with
- 7:27Speaker 1: younger voters and also refusing to admit their own flaws.
- 7:31Speaker 2: One of the great.
- 7:31Speaker 1: Examples is they completely admitted the fact that, well, there
- 7:35Speaker 1: was a massive cognitive decline of Joe Biden. If you
- 7:38Speaker 1: do an autopsy on how you lost an election with
- 7:41Speaker 1: Kamala Harris, but you don't look at that, and you
- 7:43Speaker 1: don't look at the fact that no one voted for
- 7:45Speaker 1: Kamala Harris, that's right, she was coronated. There was also
- 7:49Speaker 1: another problem there. Now the polling also shows something else
- 7:53Speaker 1: that's interesting. There is now growing frustration within the Democratic
- 7:58Speaker 1: Party on issues like in flat even immigration, crime, and
- 8:04Speaker 1: then cultural extremism. That's not good for Democrats running. You've
- 8:08Speaker 1: got Democratic governors that are increasingly at odds with progressive activists.
- 8:13Speaker 1: You've got moderates in the Democratic Party that are nervous
- 8:16Speaker 1: about the far left messaging that's coming from all the
- 8:19Speaker 1: activist groups, and the donors are beginning to quietly worry
- 8:23Speaker 1: apparently that the party, the Democratic Party, has become so
- 8:27Speaker 1: disconnected from normal Americans, that they've completely lost sight of reality.
- 8:33Speaker 1: And that's why you're hearing phrases like new faces or
- 8:37Speaker 1: new generation, or new ideas, or rebranding or course correction.
- 8:41Speaker 1: All of those have been used in the last several
- 8:43Speaker 1: days by Democrats on TV. Now, these aren't hopeful slogans
- 8:47Speaker 1: at all. These are actually slogans of warning signs that
- 8:51Speaker 1: they now realize are right in front of them. Look
- 8:55Speaker 1: political parties, they only start using language like this when
- 8:58Speaker 1: they believe the current model is in a disaster spiral.
- 9:03Speaker 1: And then there's also another major issue, who is actually
- 9:07Speaker 1: the leader of the Democratic Party, who exactly is leading
- 9:11Speaker 1: on the issues, And that's becoming harder and harder to answer.
- 9:15Speaker 1: Former President Joe Biden remains deeply polarizing figure within his
- 9:19Speaker 1: own party, and he's nowhere to be found. You've got
- 9:22Speaker 1: Vice President Kamwa Harris continues to struggle with approval ratings
- 9:25Speaker 1: in voter enthusiasm, even as she says I'm running for
- 9:28Speaker 1: president again more than likely. And progressive stars like AOC
- 9:34Speaker 1: excite activist audiences, but then they create bigger concerns among
- 9:38Speaker 1: the moderates. Governors are also trying to emerge nationally. Look,
- 9:43Speaker 1: governors are even trying to emerge politically for the White House,
- 9:47Speaker 1: but none have fully consolidated their support outside of their
- 9:51Speaker 1: own state. And then you've got sentaters like Corey Booker. Yes,
- 9:55Speaker 1: he's looking at running for president, but he's also signaling
- 9:58Speaker 1: that the Democratic Party is in need of an entirely
- 10:01Speaker 1: new makeover, in other words, a new direction he believes. Look,
- 10:05Speaker 1: there's not a lot of unity right now, there's no
- 10:08Speaker 1: framework for how they're going to get back on top,
- 10:11Speaker 1: and the generational divide within the Democratic Party is becoming
- 10:14Speaker 1: impossible to hide. Older establishment democrats still dominate much of
- 10:19Speaker 1: the party infrastructure and their donations. But the younger radical activists, well,
- 10:25Speaker 1: they want aggressive ideological confrontation on everything from climate policy
- 10:30Speaker 1: to policing, to immigration, to foreign policy to trans issues.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Moderates by the way, they want things totally different. They
- 10:39Speaker 1: want electability. Activists want ideological purity, which doesn't happen on
- 10:45Speaker 1: either side of the aisle very often. And then donors
- 10:48Speaker 1: are saying, hey, they just want stability in America and
- 10:52Speaker 1: they want stability around the world. The grassroots organizers, many
- 10:56Speaker 1: of them, have dried up because they don't believe in
- 10:59Speaker 1: going to war on behalf of some of these radicals,
- 11:03Speaker 1: which brings me to one Democratic candidate that is being
- 11:06Speaker 1: supported by the elites of Washington, and that's a guy
- 11:10Speaker 1: who has a Nazi tattoo.
- 11:13Speaker 2: Yes, Graham Platner.
- 11:16Speaker 1: He is in Maine, and he is the guy who's
- 11:19Speaker 1: got the most wild opposition research file I've ever seen
- 11:23Speaker 1: any candidate have. And the Democratic Maine Senate candidate even
- 11:28Speaker 1: had to dodge questions this week about an apology. He
- 11:31Speaker 1: was confronted over a deleted Reddit post where he said
- 11:34Speaker 1: a purple Heart recipient didn't deserve to live. Yes, he
- 11:41Speaker 1: actually said that. He was asked if he wanted to
- 11:44Speaker 1: apologize after saying that, and here is the response from
- 11:48Speaker 1: the Democratic leading candidate in Maine.
- 11:51Speaker 2: I was wondering, if.
- 11:52Speaker 5: You regret the posts about the purple heart veteran, if
- 11:58Speaker 5: you think you need to apologize to him, what you would
- 12:04Speaker 5: say to the voters who might be upset by it?
- 12:07Speaker 4: Therefore, tours the infantry. Any attempt to say that I
- 12:12Speaker 4: disrespect coutrooms is slanderous and offensive.
- 12:16Speaker 5: Do you think you allm an apology?
- 12:19Speaker 4: Do you know how many of my friends a prople
- 12:21Speaker 4: arts do you know how many of my friends got.
- 12:23Speaker 2: Winded arlt thank you, thank you.
- 12:28Speaker 1: So there you have it, a Democratic Party that insults
- 12:31Speaker 1: our men and women that served this country, refuse to apologize,
- 12:35Speaker 1: and then there's massive infighting on top of that. What
- 12:39Speaker 1: we now know, and it's pretty darn clear, is the
- 12:41Speaker 1: Democratic Party has no idea who's in charge or even
- 12:45Speaker 1: what they actually stand for. And that's where we are
- 12:48Speaker 1: right now. Donald Trump has come out with a new
- 12:52Speaker 1: message on true social regarding Iran's enriched uranium stockpile. And
- 12:58Speaker 1: here's exactly how President and Trump framed it. Trump said, quote,
- 13:02Speaker 1: the enriched uranium nuclear dust will either be immediately turned
- 13:06Speaker 1: over to the United States, or be brought home and destroyed,
- 13:11Speaker 1: preferably in conjunction and coordination with the Islamic Republic of Iran,
- 13:17Speaker 1: or destroyed in place or at another acceptable location. That
- 13:23Speaker 1: line instantly sent shockwaves through not only Washington, but also
- 13:27Speaker 1: the Middle East, and then it had a big impact
- 13:30Speaker 1: in the.
- 13:30Speaker 2: International diplomatic circles.
- 13:32Speaker 1: Why because this wasn't Trump talking vaguely about negotiations. This
- 13:38Speaker 1: was the President of the United States publicly declaring that
- 13:41Speaker 1: Iran will not be allowed to keep enriched uranium period,
- 13:46Speaker 1: and that in many ways changes everything now. According to
- 13:49Speaker 1: reports following the post, Trump's demand is now central to
- 13:54Speaker 1: the ongoing negotiations connected to the conflict in the region
- 13:59Speaker 1: and the broader talk involving the Strait of Hormuz, which
- 14:01Speaker 1: I'll get to in a moment. For years, Iran has
- 14:05Speaker 1: insisted that it's uranium in Richmond is a sovereign right.
- 14:09Speaker 1: Iranian officials have repeatedly argued they should be allowed to
- 14:12Speaker 1: maintain a quote civilian nuclear program. But Donald Trump's position
- 14:17Speaker 1: is dramatically different from previous frameworks and especially from American leaders.
- 14:23Speaker 1: He's not talking about limiting uranium enrichment levels. He's not
- 14:27Speaker 1: talking about temporary pauses like Obama did either. He's talking
- 14:31Speaker 1: about physically removing the stockpile from Iranian control or destroying
- 14:37Speaker 1: it outright. That is a completely different level of pressure.
- 14:41Speaker 1: And it's exactly why this story matters so much right now,
- 14:45Speaker 1: because enriched uranium is now the centerpiece of the entire
- 14:48Speaker 1: nuclear deal and debate and a ceasefire. Once uranium, by
- 14:53Speaker 1: the way, reaches higher enrichment levels, experts warn, the timeline
- 14:58Speaker 1: towards weaponization becomes dramatically shorter, and the presence smart and
- 15:02Speaker 1: understands you cannot trust Iran, and that's why the administration
- 15:06Speaker 1: appears to be pursuing a strategy that's really built around
- 15:10Speaker 1: one principle eliminate the stockpile itself. No stockpile, no breakout capacity,
- 15:18Speaker 1: no ambiguity. And the timing is also well, really critical.
- 15:23Speaker 1: These comments come as the President also continues military pressure
- 15:28Speaker 1: and operations near the Strait of Hormus. Multiple reports today
- 15:32Speaker 1: confirm that US force is launched what we're described as
- 15:36Speaker 1: self defense strikes targeting iranium missile sites and naval threats
- 15:41Speaker 1: near the shipping corridor. That means diplomacy is happening under
- 15:45Speaker 1: the shadow of active military confrontation now. At the same time,
- 15:50Speaker 1: the Strait of horm moves remains one of the most
- 15:52Speaker 1: strategically important waterways on Earth and a huge centerpiece of
- 15:58Speaker 1: not only the global shipping of oil and the strait
- 16:01Speaker 1: also remains one of the most strategically important waterways on
- 16:04Speaker 1: Earth and a huge percentage of what the President has
- 16:09Speaker 1: to figure out in this peace deal possibly with Iran. Now,
- 16:13Speaker 1: according to reports, reopening and stabilizing the strait is now
- 16:17Speaker 1: deeply connected to the broader nuclear negotiations, which brings me
- 16:23Speaker 1: to part two of the story. Now, to be clear,
- 16:26Speaker 1: Trump is essentially trying to leverage the military, the economic,
- 16:30Speaker 1: and the diplomatic pressure all at the same time, and
- 16:34Speaker 1: it's working. The message from the President also is straightforward.
- 16:39Speaker 1: There is no ambiguity. If Iran one sanctions relief, if
- 16:44Speaker 1: Iran one stability, if Iran one's economic breathing room, then
- 16:49Speaker 1: the uranium enrichment is gone. In fact, the uranium goes
- 16:54Speaker 1: away forever. It's not going to be monitored which is
- 16:58Speaker 1: what we had in previous administrations. It's not going to
- 17:02Speaker 1: be stored underground, not hidden in another facility. It is
- 17:07Speaker 1: going to be destroyed. Now here's what also makes this
- 17:11Speaker 1: conversation even more explosive. Iranian state Link media is already
- 17:17Speaker 1: rejecting these new claims from the President and claims that
- 17:21Speaker 1: Taran agree to transfer uranium out of the country. In fact,
- 17:25Speaker 1: reports from the state sponsored news agency specifically pushed back
- 17:30Speaker 1: against stories suggesting Iran had accepted these conditions. Now that
- 17:35Speaker 1: could be to save face with the people in Iran.
- 17:38Speaker 1: But despite all this, Donald Trump seems confident and seems
- 17:42Speaker 1: to me making it clear this situation can move quickly
- 17:46Speaker 1: in the right direction, or the situation can get extremely dangerous.
- 17:50Speaker 2: Iran, you get to choose.
- 17:52Speaker 1: Now, if the negotiations collapse, the presence made it clear
- 17:56Speaker 1: they will continue to bomb the world. Immediately starts asking
- 17:59Speaker 1: the next question, what happens then, Right, does Israel also
- 18:03Speaker 1: act militarily There's a very good chance. And how long
- 18:07Speaker 1: do the US strikes go or intensify? And does Iran
- 18:11Speaker 1: escalate a tax in the Gulf as well against their neighbors?
- 18:15Speaker 1: And most importantly, does the Strait of Hormuz yet again close? Now,
- 18:21Speaker 1: there's a lot of X factors here, but the thing
- 18:24Speaker 1: that is clear as this Trump says he believes that
- 18:28Speaker 1: a partial compromise is no longer acceptable. Supporters of President
- 18:34Speaker 1: Trump are making it clear as well. That's exactly what
- 18:37Speaker 1: Americans elected him to do, to take a tougher position
- 18:41Speaker 1: against regimes like Iran and refuse what conservatives long described
- 18:46Speaker 1: as weak on one sided nuclear deals. Trump withdrew from
- 18:51Speaker 1: the Obama era Iran nuclear agreement during his first term.
- 18:55Speaker 1: He made it clear then that had empowered Tehran while
- 18:58Speaker 1: failing to permanently limit the nuclear threat. Now, in the
- 19:02Speaker 1: new phase of negotiations. The President is now saying, we're
- 19:05Speaker 1: not repeating that model. And politically, this is also classic
- 19:09Speaker 1: President Trump. Maximum leverage, maximum pressure, maximum public positioning. Trump
- 19:17Speaker 1: is literally negotiating publicly and directly and aggressively, and he's
- 19:22Speaker 1: using his true social account, almost like a diplomatic megaphone,
- 19:27Speaker 1: to also let the rest of the world in on
- 19:29Speaker 1: what he's thinking. And there's another major issue here that
- 19:32Speaker 1: cannot be ignored verification. Even if Iran agreed tomorrow to
- 19:37Speaker 1: destroy or transfer the uranium, verifying compliance would be enormously difficult.
- 19:44Speaker 1: Inspecters would actually need real access, facilities would need actual
- 19:49Speaker 1: real monitoring, transportation routes would require massive security and trust
- 19:54Speaker 1: between Washington and Tehran. Well, let's be clear, it's almost
- 19:58Speaker 1: non existent. And that's why this is a big moment.
- 20:03Speaker 1: This could be consequential for the future of the country
- 20:06Speaker 1: and the world.
- 20:08Speaker 2: This isn't just.
- 20:08Speaker 1: About another temporary ceasefire either. This is about whether the
- 20:12Speaker 1: United States can permanently force Iran to surrender the materials
- 20:18Speaker 1: at the heart of the nuclear standoff. Now, Trump is
- 20:21Speaker 1: also linking the negotiations to a broader regional vision involving
- 20:26Speaker 1: expanded peace agreements, and the normalization efforts across the Middle East,
- 20:31Speaker 1: which would also include Iran and the lifting of sanctions.
- 20:34Speaker 1: And while many Republicans are glad that the President is
- 20:38Speaker 1: doing what he needs to do on pressure, there's a
- 20:41Speaker 1: course many in the media and in world politics that
- 20:44Speaker 1: are saying the president has lost his ever loving mind.
- 20:47Speaker 1: And when they're saying that, what it usually means is
- 20:50Speaker 1: Donald Trump is absolutely right. There is a critical moment
- 20:55Speaker 1: that's happening right now in negotiations between the United States
- 20:58Speaker 1: of America and Iran, and the center of everything is
- 21:01Speaker 1: one narrow strip of water, and you know, it impacts
- 21:04Speaker 1: the entire global economy, and that is a straight of
- 21:07Speaker 1: horror moves.
- 21:08Speaker 2: Right now.
- 21:09Speaker 1: The biggest question in the world isn't just whether the
- 21:12Speaker 1: US Iran can avoid another massive escalation. The question is
- 21:16Speaker 1: whether global shipping and the oil markets is well going
- 21:20Speaker 1: to have stability or it's going to continue to go
- 21:23Speaker 1: up and down like crazy all because of this standoff.
- 21:27Speaker 1: And now there are major developments on both fronts, and
- 21:30Speaker 1: that is good news.
- 21:32Speaker 2: Now.
- 21:32Speaker 1: For weeks, the United States and Iran have been engaging
- 21:36Speaker 1: in these intense negotiations, involving multiple mediators. This has included
- 21:41Speaker 1: Oman and Qatar and even Pakistan. They're all trying to
- 21:45Speaker 1: get stability in the Middle East. They're trying to hammer
- 21:47Speaker 1: out a broader agreement tied to the ongoing conflict. Now
- 21:51Speaker 1: this is also happening as Iran is demanding sanction reliefs
- 21:55Speaker 1: in a deal, and Iran says they really don't want
- 21:58Speaker 1: to totally get rid of their nuclear ambitions. Of course
- 22:01Speaker 1: they lie and say it is not for nuclear weapons,
- 22:03Speaker 1: it's just for energy, which no one believes them. President
- 22:07Speaker 1: Trump has also publicly said over the weekend that the
- 22:10Speaker 1: negotiations are largely at this point negotiated, meaning there's a
- 22:15Speaker 1: lot of parts of the deal that have already been
- 22:17Speaker 1: agreed to, and that a breakthrough could actually be very close.
- 22:22Speaker 2: Now.
- 22:22Speaker 1: Iran is simultaneously signaling that while progress is being made,
- 22:26Speaker 1: a final agreement they're saying is not imminent.
- 22:29Speaker 4: Now.
- 22:29Speaker 1: They may be lying just to keep the people in
- 22:32Speaker 1: Iran in line, as well as those that are in
- 22:35Speaker 1: charge of the government, especially knowing that the IRGC is
- 22:39Speaker 1: in charge of the country right now, and that really
- 22:43Speaker 1: tells you what you need to know about these talks.
- 22:45Speaker 1: Both sides want a deal, but neither side wants to
- 22:49Speaker 1: look weak while getting there. Now, the biggest sticking point
- 22:52Speaker 1: remains Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles. The United States has made
- 22:57Speaker 1: it clear President Trump demanding that Iran either surrender, transfer,
- 23:02Speaker 1: or neutralize it's highly enriched uranium. Now, Iran publicly has
- 23:06Speaker 1: said over and over again they refuse to hand over
- 23:10Speaker 1: anything within enriched uranium to America. Instead, we're now being
- 23:15Speaker 1: told that negotiators are discussing possible face saving alternatives, including
- 23:20Speaker 1: transferring the material to a third party country like Pakistan
- 23:25Speaker 1: or Turkey, even Russia or China, two of our biggest adversaries.
- 23:30Speaker 1: There's also another idea that was floated allowing Iran to
- 23:33Speaker 1: dilute the material under strict international oversight. So that's the
- 23:37Speaker 1: diplomatic side that's playing out behind the scenes. But the
- 23:41Speaker 1: military and economic side of the story, it still all
- 23:44Speaker 1: is revolving around the Strait of hor Moods, and that's
- 23:47Speaker 1: where things become incredibly important for Americans listening right now.
- 23:52Speaker 2: The Strait of Hormus.
- 23:53Speaker 1: It's clear it is the most strategic and important waterway
- 23:57Speaker 1: on planet Earth when it comes to oil. Roughly twenty
- 24:01Speaker 1: percent of the world's oil supply flows through that narrow corridor.
- 24:06Speaker 1: When it is disrupted, we've seen what's happened. Oil price
- 24:09Speaker 1: of spiked, the shipping costs also skyrocket inflation. Then the
- 24:15Speaker 1: risk of it grows and the global markets do what
- 24:18Speaker 1: they do best, they flat out panic. So the big
- 24:22Speaker 1: question is this is the Strait of Hormuz open or
- 24:26Speaker 1: is it closed right now?
- 24:27Speaker 2: The honest answer is this.
- 24:29Speaker 1: It's partially open, heavily contested, and not operating in a
- 24:35Speaker 1: normal atmosphere, meaning boats are not just coming and going
- 24:39Speaker 1: as they need to. Now, commercial shipping is resumed in
- 24:42Speaker 1: limited forms in some areas, but the situation remains, as
- 24:47Speaker 1: they describe it, unstable and highly militarized. The United States
- 24:52Speaker 1: naval presence remains enormous in the region with Iran. They're
- 24:56Speaker 1: continuing to use threats, inspections, even proxy pressure and maritime
- 25:01Speaker 1: leverage as bargaining tools to get what they want in
- 25:05Speaker 1: this peace deal.
- 25:06Speaker 4: Now.
- 25:07Speaker 1: According to the latest reporting today, negotiators are now discussing
- 25:11Speaker 1: a new framework that would fully open the strait roughly
- 25:15Speaker 1: thirty days after a formal peace agreement is signed.
- 25:19Speaker 3: Now.
- 25:20Speaker 1: During that period, Iran would reportedly begin removing naval minds
- 25:24Speaker 1: and halt transit fees and restrictions tied to the conflict.
- 25:29Speaker 1: Now that is a huge development. It also means something critical.
- 25:33Speaker 1: The Strait is not fully normalized yet. If it were
- 25:38Speaker 1: fully open and secure, there would be no need for
- 25:41Speaker 1: these negotiations to reopen it.
- 25:43Speaker 2: And remember how we got here.
- 25:45Speaker 1: After the broader conflict escalated earlier this year, Iran used
- 25:50Speaker 1: any leverage they could have and they moved aggressively to
- 25:53Speaker 1: disrupt shipping through the strait. The United States then responded
- 25:57Speaker 1: with naval operations, escort missions, and eventually that naval blockade
- 26:01Speaker 1: targeting Iranian ship's activity in the waterway. Now, at this point,
- 26:06Speaker 1: commercial traffic through the region nearly collapsed. Insurance costs for
- 26:11Speaker 1: tankers exploded. Oil markets then panicked, and global shipping companies
- 26:16Speaker 1: rerouted their vessels, costing time and money. Some tankers simply
- 26:21Speaker 1: refused to transit the area altogether, and the world was
- 26:25Speaker 1: reminded how fragile global energy infrastructure really is now. The
- 26:30Speaker 1: US then launched their maritime operations that was in theory
- 26:34Speaker 1: designed to reopen commercial transit and also to ter Iranian interference.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Those operations included escort missions, mind clearing efforts, and aggressive
- 26:45Speaker 1: naval enforcement actions now ran. Meanwhile, they tried to leverage
- 26:50Speaker 1: as crisis politically. One proposal from Tehran reportedly inuted creating
- 26:55Speaker 1: a new Persian Gulf shipping authority that would effectively route
- 26:59Speaker 1: traffic through Iranian controlled procedures and potentially would impose tariffs
- 27:04Speaker 1: or fees. Golf Arab states strongly opposed that idea, warning
- 27:09Speaker 1: that it would hand a run too much control over
- 27:12Speaker 1: international commerce. And that's where the geopolitical chess board, well,
- 27:16Speaker 1: it gets really fascinating, because this isn't just about a
- 27:20Speaker 1: random America any longer. China is now watching closely because
- 27:25Speaker 1: China depends heavily on the old shipments through the Strait.
- 27:30Speaker 1: Europe is also watching. Energy prices directly impact their economies,
- 27:35Speaker 1: and even more importantly than that, the Gulf states, well,
- 27:38Speaker 1: they're watching because their financial futures literally depend on stable exports,
- 27:43Speaker 1: and if they don't have it, they don't get the
- 27:45Speaker 1: money they need. Now there's also the war aspect of this.
- 27:49Speaker 1: Israel is watching all this because any sanctions really for
- 27:52Speaker 1: nuclear promises, they affect their security and the regional security
- 27:57Speaker 1: as well. In Russia, they're also watching is intently as
- 28:01Speaker 1: we are because instability in the global energy markets benefits
- 28:05Speaker 1: Moscow financially in a way that can alter and change
- 28:08Speaker 1: their war with Ukraine. And that's why these negotiations have
- 28:12Speaker 1: become so complicated. This isn't simply a bilateral nuclear discussion
- 28:18Speaker 1: any longer. It's a negotiation about energy, military power, shipping lanes,
- 28:24Speaker 1: proxy wars, regional alliances, and global economic stability. Now, politically,
- 28:32Speaker 1: both sides are trying to claim there's real momentum. Some
- 28:35Speaker 1: of its flat out lies from the Iranian government trying
- 28:38Speaker 1: to keep their people in line. Iran is telling its
- 28:41Speaker 1: domestic audience that it did not surrender, it did not
- 28:44Speaker 1: hand over a uranium o outright and force Washington, they say,
- 28:48Speaker 1: into broader negotiations rather than unilateral capitulation. So here we
- 28:54Speaker 1: are at possibly what could be the beginning of the
- 28:58Speaker 1: end of this conflict. Question is will cooler minds prevail
- 29:03Speaker 1: in Iran or are we looking at more military strikes
- 29:07Speaker 1: from the United States government at the leadership of President
- 29:10Speaker 1: Donald Trump.
- 29:12Speaker 2: We'll keep following this story.
- 29:13Speaker 1: I can promise you that we've got a lot more
- 29:16Speaker 1: that's going to happen the days ahead. So make sure
- 29:18Speaker 1: you don't forget grab our podcast, The Ben Ferguson Podcasts.
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- 29:27Speaker 1: breaking news.