What's Really Driving the Dollar-Shekel Rate?

Logosofia no Dia a Dia · May 13, 2026 · 34m

The dollar-shekel rate is at a 25-year low, but is the shekel strong or the dollar weak? This episode breaks down the four-bucket framework institutional analysts use to forecast the pair: Israel's sticky current account surplus, the interest rate differential that defies textbook logic, the security risk premium that spikes and fades, and the Bank of Israel's aggressive intervention program. Plus, we dive into the technical chart — what makes 2.9 a historically significant support level, how to distinguish a temporary correction from a true trend reversal, and what happens when a 25-year…