Latest / UBS Trending / Inside the Great Wealth Shift
Transcript
- 0:00The great wealth transfer is underway and it's not slowing down.
- 0:03$83 trillion is set to be passed on to younger generations.
- 0:07So what's really different about this moment?
- 0:09And how can families avoid the pitfalls
- 0:12and prepare for succession?
- 0:13We're going to break that all down for you
- 0:15and a lot more right now on UBS Trending.
- 0:29Hey everybody, and welcome to the UBS
- 0:30Trending. I'm Anthony Pastore. Thanks for joining us today.
- 0:33My guest in the studio is Libby Stantial, my friend and longtime
- 0:37colleague Libby. Nice to have you here in the studio.
- 0:39Good to see you. So good to be here, Anthony. Thank you.
- 0:41So I wanted to talk to you
- 0:42and your team have been working
- 0:44really hard
- 0:45on this next gen report that focuses on this great wealth
- 0:48transfer that we have been talking about for a few years now.
- 0:51It's here. It's underway.
- 0:53I mentioned right in the intro, $83
- 0:55trillion over the next 10 to 20 years.
- 0:57What's interesting about this
- 0:59is that if you look back at history, it's a lot different today.
- 1:02People are certainly living longer.
- 1:04There are real estate values have gone up.
- 1:07Assets in their portfolios
- 1:08have certainly increased exponentially over the last few years.
- 1:11But to ask you the question, as we get started today,
- 1:14what's different about this time, particularly related to that
- 1:18wealth transfer?
- 1:19Yeah, absolutely. You said it.
- 1:21And what's so interesting about this particular wealth transfer?
- 1:25I feel like even outside of my work
- 1:27at UBS, I'm hearing it everywhere.
- 1:29It's part of headlines and CNBC in the Wall Street Journal.
- 1:32So it's very timely that we're having this discussion.
- 1:35And we have a lot of resources
- 1:36at UBS helping clients navigate these conversations.
- 1:39As you said, 83 trillion.
- 1:41That's almost three times the size of the US GDP.
- 1:45And most of that 83 trillion is going to be
- 1:48transferred in the United States about 29 trillion.
- 1:51So the scale and the size alone make this truly unprecedented.
- 1:55But when you put the numbers aside, what's really interesting
- 1:59and makes this different is how the wealth is being transferred.
- 2:03First of all, wealth, as you may think, it
- 2:06travels in multiple directions.
- 2:08So there's intra generationally between spouses.
- 2:12We call that the horizontal wealth transfer.
- 2:14And then there's what
- 2:15what you're thinking about and what you pointed out that wealth
- 2:18being transferred vertically to the next generation.
- 2:22So thinking about multiple populations
- 2:24and different people who are coming into this wealth
- 2:27for the first time.
- 2:28Additionally, you know,
- 2:30as you said, people have longer life expectancies.
- 2:33We work with many clients who, thankfully, are involved
- 2:37professionally and personally
- 2:39in their family's lives
- 2:40for decades longer than they've been before.
- 2:43So in that sense, wealth transfer sort of implies a one time act.
- 2:48It's really not that one time act.
- 2:50It's a wealth transition over multiple generations and decades
- 2:54that families are having these conversations.
- 2:56You also said baby boomers, Gen Z, millennials,
- 2:59which is certainly true in
- 3:00the majority, is going to be passed on from those generations.
- 3:04But it's actually Gen X and baby boomers
- 3:07as well, receiving wealth, for some of the first time.
- 3:11So it's less about age when it comes to the wealth transfer
- 3:15and more about preparedness and responsibility.
- 3:19As the primary drivers and feeling of that wealth transfer.
- 3:22Right.
- 3:23In the United States, almost 70% of our survey respondents
- 3:29associate wealth transfer with a shift in responsibility,
- 3:33not a major life event.
- 3:35You know, which is certainly important.
- 3:36We'll talk about that later. But,
- 3:39more than any other region, it culturally we feel that shift
- 3:43and responsibility much more,
- 3:44which is why we see this as much more of a journey over time.
- 3:47Yeah.
- 3:47And, you know,
- 3:48I think
- 3:48people automatically assume when you talk about wealth transfer
- 3:52through the generations,
- 3:54it means that it's being passed on after that loved one
- 3:57passes away.
- 3:58It's not actually just that it's happening
- 4:00while they're also living.
- 4:01So they're living while giving
- 4:03or giving while living is probably the better way to say it.
- 4:05So there's so many different nuances of this,
- 4:07and I do want to point out if we can pull that chart up again,
- 4:10from the control room,
- 4:11you just talked about that 67% say it's a responsibility shift,
- 4:14and then that 17% passing of a family member opportunity.
- 4:19Those are really interesting pieces
- 4:20that, again, we're in this next
- 4:21gen report that you and your colleagues have put together
- 4:24had survey
- 4:25respondents global report, taking a look at the US results.
- 4:29I find this to be really fascinating.
- 4:30That is a huge skew
- 4:32in one direction to have that top one be at 67%.
- 4:35Yeah, about the average I believe was in, the 40% or 50%.
- 4:40So it does stand out a lot more in the United States.
- 4:44And it is interesting when you look at different cultures, how
- 4:47they interpret shifts and responsibility and wealth transfer.
- 4:50I said already that the greatest wealth transfer is happening
- 4:53in the US.
- 4:54So, a lot of opportunity and, space for us to help.
- 4:59Yeah. For sure. Yeah.
- 5:00I mean, that's
- 5:00one of the things we always talk about here being,
- 5:03you know, under the roof of UBS and under the, the,
- 5:05you know, the keys as you were, as they were.
- 5:08We do have a lot of resources and staff and people around
- 5:11who can
- 5:11assist our clients
- 5:13and prospective clients in all kinds of journeys,
- 5:15including this one.
- 5:16So let me ask you this because, you know,
- 5:17this is probably something we pulled out from the report.
- 5:19If if you know, it is a journey we talked about wealth
- 5:22transfer is a journey.
- 5:23Where are our clients that were surveyed in this report
- 5:27on their journey?
- 5:28What what were they talking about while they were taking
- 5:32this particular survey? Where did you find them? Yeah.
- 5:35So about a third are already
- 5:37in the middle of a wealth transfer, which is great,
- 5:41but almost about half are either in the planning stages
- 5:45with their advisors and even some haven't started at all.
- 5:48Almost half.
- 5:49Wow.
- 5:49So that's a
- 5:50that's probably bigger than you would have expected right.
- 5:52Yes. Yeah.
- 5:53I mean sometimes based on the demand that we,
- 5:56we hear from clients
- 5:57in these conversations happening all the time.
- 6:00It doesn't surprise me in some ways,
- 6:03but it's more reassuring for everyone else out there
- 6:05who might think like, oh my gosh, I'm too late.
- 6:08I haven't started.
- 6:10Nope. You're you're right where you're meant to be.
- 6:12And, most are in the beginning phases of this transfer, right?
- 6:17The biggest catalyst, as we've talked about
- 6:19is taking on more responsibility.
- 6:22After that,
- 6:22I mentioned life events briefly, but that is the reality.
- 6:26There's beautiful life milestones that happen, marriages, births,
- 6:31more difficult family times as well, like an illness
- 6:33or a passing that bring about these difficult conversations
- 6:36and even big professional milestones
- 6:38like a liquidity event for a business.
- 6:42So we really see those are the types
- 6:44of triggers for these types of conversations.
- 6:47Unsurprisingly, parents and senior wealth owners
- 6:50are the ones to initiate these conversations.
- 6:54But really, most next gen ones, we're in the dialog.
- 6:59Wish that we had had these conversations.
- 7:02Much as you're sure, we see a lot of these conversations
- 7:05happening for people in young adulthood,
- 7:08but we help families with children as young as three.
- 7:13Have these conversations.
- 7:15And for those that might be thinking, well,
- 7:18you know, talking about this too early creates a, you know,
- 7:23sense of responsibility or
- 7:25is even worrying about, you know, sharing details
- 7:28about money might create a sense of entitlement among children.
- 7:32Sure.
- 7:32But we find that starting earlier actually creates
- 7:36the opposite effect.
- 7:36It creates a lot of empowerment and clarity.
- 7:39And by the way, there's also ways to have these dialogs
- 7:42and conversations
- 7:43without revealing the entire balance sheet at once.
- 7:47So we actually in almost every client engagement that my team,
- 7:51works on, we start with a conversation around purpose,
- 7:55values, and intent around wealth, really starting with Y.
- 8:00Because when the family and especially that next
- 8:02generation has a sense of why,
- 8:05you know,
- 8:06the wealth was created and what is important to the family,
- 8:10that will really serve
- 8:11as the guidepost in the marker
- 8:13as you get into more difficult conversations with regard
- 8:16to structure and governance, that can happen later on.
- 8:19So we started with purpose and values.
- 8:21Yeah. You know, it's a really good point that you bring up.
- 8:23I've sat in my chair, hosting, you know, conversations like these
- 8:27for a long time now.
- 8:29And many conversations have related to the idea
- 8:32of having difficult conversations, whether it's about finances,
- 8:34preparing for, you know, the illness or death of a loved one.
- 8:38Like,
- 8:38these are conversations
- 8:39that are not the most easy thing
- 8:41to just kind of bring up on a Sunday
- 8:42when you're sitting with your parents
- 8:43or your grandparents saying,
- 8:44hey, have you thought about what happens
- 8:45when you know you're no longer on this earth?
- 8:47It's not the most comfortable thing,
- 8:48but there are ways to have those conversations.
- 8:51Even working with a financial advisor who can maybe sort of help
- 8:53guide that conversation a little bit.
- 8:55So, you know, I think there's a lot that's in the report.
- 8:58I would encourage
- 8:59everybody watching today
- 9:00to reach out to a financial advisor at UBS,
- 9:03get a copy of the report.
- 9:04There's some great information in there and more,
- 9:07feedback from the surveys and results.
- 9:09But I just wanted to ask you, like,
- 9:10talk about the consequences of this.
- 9:11Talk about what families who are watching this today,
- 9:14what they should be thinking about to take that journey
- 9:17if they're not already on it, how do they start it?
- 9:18And what what are the consequences if they don't? Right.
- 9:21And you know, we often find that
- 9:25if these conversations haven't happened, it's
- 9:28not because people don't care.
- 9:29They don't find it important or haven't found.
- 9:32Find time to plan.
- 9:33Like you said on a Sunday,
- 9:34no one's just bringing this up out of the blue.
- 9:37That's actually one thing that we really advocate for in our work
- 9:40is creating intentional time for these conversations.
- 9:44We recommend, and we actually can help facilitate in a lot of,
- 9:48in a lot of cases,
- 9:49family meetings that are separate from dinners or holidays.
- 9:53Sometimes they can take place on a family vacation if that's when
- 9:57everyone is together.
- 9:58But really setting aside 2 or 3 hours with a set
- 10:02agenda, topics
- 10:04that need to be discussed and not just going through that agenda,
- 10:08but then committing to that as a long term conversation.
- 10:11So I would just like to reiterate
- 10:13to everyone that creating intentional time is really important.
- 10:17I don't think anyone expects you to bring this up at, you know,
- 10:21the next right Christmas or how Mother's Day
- 10:24is going to be the ham
- 10:25and the turkey around the table and the mashed potatoes.
- 10:27And by the way, let's talk about this
- 10:28difficult conversation about money.
- 10:30Yes, yes, exactly.
- 10:31Which is never an easy topic to bring up in the first place.
- 10:34Exactly right.
- 10:35And maybe it happens over multiple conversations
- 10:37and maybe it's not just the one and done right.
- 10:39And in other places where people get stuck sometimes
- 10:42include clarity around roles and responsibilities.
- 10:45So we've talked about people
- 10:46feel that shift and responsibility
- 10:48before they even come into money.
- 10:50Maybe you have some next generation family members
- 10:53already involved in the family business,
- 10:55working there in some capacity.
- 10:57Maybe you have family members who are kind of informally
- 11:00managing families investments or are involved in some other way,
- 11:04but what structure can help introduce is creating,
- 11:09you know, putting that conversation on paper
- 11:11and allowing the family to ask, okay, who is involved?
- 11:14And also sometimes who isn't involved.
- 11:17And that can create, you know, uncomfortableness.
- 11:20But again, in the longer term, that structure
- 11:24really helps guide the path going forward.
- 11:27And once something's on paper,
- 11:28you know, it can always change too.
- 11:30But it's about what does our situation look like now?
- 11:34Another place or a consequence,
- 11:36as you mentioned, that people get stuck.
- 11:37Is, doing this too late or all at once?
- 11:42Many people do wait until that defining life moment,
- 11:45and at that point, it can feel
- 11:47a little bit more reactive than proactive.
- 11:50Deciding under pressure, making difficult decisions.
- 11:53Exactly. We all want to avoid that.
- 11:55If you're already stressed out about whatever
- 11:56that particular event is,
- 11:57it doesn't make this particular conversation any easier.
- 12:00Exactly, exactly.
- 12:01So starting earlier, communicating clearly is always important.
- 12:05And we advocate for that. Right.
- 12:07So the families who are doing this well
- 12:09and that 33% maybe who are already on their way,
- 12:12they don't view structure or these conversations as constraints.
- 12:16They're flexible and willing to evolve
- 12:20and see it as an empowering, source as they continue.
- 12:23Excellent. Libby. Thank you. Great stuff.
- 12:25Congratulations to you and the team on the report, the survey
- 12:28that's in there.
- 12:28So I would encourage everybody
- 12:29to make sure they get a copy of that. Good to see you, Libby.
- 12:31Good to see you too, Anthony. Thank you.
- 12:33You too. Libby Stantial.
- 12:33Everybody, thank you very much for joining us as well.
- 12:36If you'd like more information,
- 12:37you can visit our website at ubs.com/views.
- 12:40lots of content there for you.
- 12:42And make sure to follow us on social media.
- 12:44We're on LinkedIn and Facebook.
- 12:46Plus, UBS Studios has its own Instagram channel at UBS trending
- 12:50is the name of that. So give us a follow there.
- 12:51And as always,
- 12:52if you do have any questions or want to get a copy
- 12:55of the next gen report that has the survey results in it,
- 12:58make sure that you are continuing this conversation
- 13:02with your financial advisor.
- 13:03And until next time, I'm Anthony Pastore.
- 13:05We wish you a great rest of your day
- 13:07and remember to keep your eyes on what's trending.
- 13:08See you soon everybody. Thanks.