The Winters It Survived That Made Him Sure of the AC
A customer told me last summer, in a kitchen in Loyal, that her air conditioner had been running for twenty-two years and so she figured it was going to make it another five at least. I asked her where the five came from. She thought about it. She said, well, it has made it this long. It has earned the right. I want to talk about that today. About the math we do in our heads about old equipment, and how the math is wrong in two different directions at once. There are two related ways the mind misjudges the survival of an aging system. They get confused with each other but they are different…
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