Latest / The Ben Ferguson Podcast / Rapid Fire Analysis of SOTU '26 w Michael Knowles & Sen Ted Cruz
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome.
- 0:00Speaker 2: It is verdict was centered Ted Cruz, Ben Ferguson with you,
- 0:04Speaker 2: and it is one am in the morning Eastern time,
- 0:07Speaker 2: after the State of the Union. I want to be
- 0:10Speaker 2: very clear that I am doing this show in protest
- 0:13Speaker 2: right now because I was on a plane. No, no,
- 0:16Speaker 2: let me rephrase that center true or Fosse. You and
- 0:20Speaker 2: I hung out yesterday in your office.
- 0:22Speaker 1: We did, and you were in DC, and I can't
- 0:25Speaker 1: help it that you fled Washington during the State of
- 0:28Speaker 1: the Union and listen Karve's a and so when you
- 0:34Speaker 1: decided you were a little girl and you had to
- 0:37Speaker 1: get out of town because the Democrats getting mad at
- 0:40Speaker 1: the president were scary. Ben, what do you think of
- 0:43Speaker 1: the damn State of the Union?
- 0:44Speaker 2: I actually think it was the best speech Donald Trump
- 0:48Speaker 2: has ever given. I actually thought it was one of
- 0:51Speaker 2: the most real and authentic responses from him to the
- 0:56Speaker 2: Democrats and how they were acting. I love that he
- 0:59Speaker 2: was like, you can't even stand for that, you won't
- 1:02Speaker 2: even see and.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Say, you guys are crazy.
- 1:04Speaker 3: Yeah, you guys are crazy.
- 1:06Speaker 4: Line, And it came as the third most incredible line.
- 1:09Speaker 4: I mean, there were a lot of them, Yeah, but.
- 1:11Speaker 1: It came on TV in an amazing way, did it?
- 1:16Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 1:16Speaker 2: Oh, I mean it was just his look, his demeanor.
- 1:19Speaker 2: He was looking over at them. I mean, you were
- 1:21Speaker 2: there obviously, so it's going to feel different to you.
- 1:23Speaker 2: But like I'm watching, I'm going that line landed and
- 1:27Speaker 2: I think the American people probably saw it and They're like, wow,
- 1:29Speaker 2: this is going to be really good.
- 1:31Speaker 3: So I'm sitting there.
- 1:33Speaker 4: It was very kind of Speaker Johnson to invite me,
- 1:36Speaker 4: and I'm sitting over the Democrats, so I got a
- 1:40Speaker 4: prime view of the Democrats. And the first line that
- 1:46Speaker 4: really brought down the House was when President Trump looked
- 1:49Speaker 4: over and it was beautifully written.
- 1:50Speaker 3: And beautifully executed.
- 1:52Speaker 4: He looked over, he said, Okay, I want everyone to
- 1:55Speaker 4: stand up. If you agree with the statement that America
- 2:00Speaker 4: should protect Americans.
- 2:02Speaker 1: Effect and over illegals.
- 2:07Speaker 4: Yes, and they refuse to stand political malpractice the likes
- 2:13Speaker 4: of which one has rarely seen. And it was a
- 2:17Speaker 4: brutal moment. He totally took advantage then.
- 2:21Speaker 1: So that moment will be played in a million campaigns. Yes,
- 2:26Speaker 1: and by the way, it was the longest sustained applause
- 2:29Speaker 1: of Republicans. We stood and we applauded, and we applauded,
- 2:33Speaker 1: and he just looked over with amazement watching them, and
- 2:39Speaker 1: and the ad rights itself there for illegals and not
- 2:43Speaker 1: for you. And they were given that choice, do you
- 2:46Speaker 1: stand with Americans or do you stand with illegals? And
- 2:49Speaker 1: the entire party No, we're the party of illegal aliens
- 2:54Speaker 1: and not the party of Americans.
- 2:56Speaker 3: It was shocking.
- 2:57Speaker 4: So then he doubles down on I'm skipping around a
- 3:01Speaker 4: little bit in time because it escalates.
- 3:03Speaker 3: Well by the way, he noticed a trend.
- 3:05Speaker 2: He noticed, this is going to be the trend of
- 3:06Speaker 2: my speech, Like I don't think he planned it this whole,
- 3:09Speaker 2: Like you guys aren't going to stand for that. It
- 3:12Speaker 2: was the moment and then it hit and then it
- 3:14Speaker 2: was like, I'm gonna keep doing this tonight to show
- 3:16Speaker 2: Americans how crazy these guys are on the left. That's
- 3:20Speaker 2: how it came across on TV.
- 3:21Speaker 4: Well, he landed it on the transgender ideology kid who
- 3:26Speaker 4: had been transd and had destroyed his family. And then
- 3:28Speaker 4: the kid finally ended up in the right place, and
- 3:32Speaker 4: the he said, isn't that wonderful? The family's reunited and
- 3:35Speaker 4: everyone's flourishing, And the Dems wouldn't stand and that was
- 3:38Speaker 4: when he dealt the blow. He said these people are crazy,
- 3:43Speaker 4: and that that too lit it up now where it
- 3:45Speaker 4: got a little dark.
- 3:46Speaker 3: But it was the same strategy.
- 3:48Speaker 4: It was the same tactic, I suppose is when he
- 3:52Speaker 4: started bringing up violence, and he obviously turns to Erica Kirk,
- 3:56Speaker 4: this national hero, this perhaps and was sympathetic. You're in
- 4:00Speaker 4: the entire country certainly up there. And the Democrats didn't
- 4:04Speaker 4: want to stand for Charlie. They didn't want to stand
- 4:06Speaker 4: for Erica again.
- 4:07Speaker 3: That itself is disgraceful. But he even gave them an out.
- 4:11Speaker 4: He said, we're a country where we say in God
- 4:14Speaker 4: we trust, and we reject political violence of all kinds.
- 4:19Speaker 3: And I was looking over some Democrats stood for that.
- 4:22Speaker 1: I'd said more than half on the political violence. I
- 4:24Speaker 1: looked as it was probably sixty seventy percent think about that.
- 4:28Speaker 1: But a third did not. A third did not.
- 4:31Speaker 4: Third would not stand for we reject political violence of
- 4:34Speaker 4: all kinds. It was I felt a disaster of optics
- 4:39Speaker 4: for Democrats and a disaster of.
- 4:40Speaker 1: Morals well, and on the we don't stand for political violence.
- 4:44Speaker 1: The reason two thirds stood is Schumer stood. By the way,
- 4:47Speaker 1: have you ever noticed how much Chuck Schumer looks like
- 4:50Speaker 1: the villain and the Smurfs. What's what's the name? I
- 4:53Speaker 1: don't even remember the name of the villain, like the
- 4:55Speaker 1: curved over like like you know, he's hunched. He has
- 4:59Speaker 1: kind of a hunchback.
- 5:00Speaker 3: Maybe Penguin from Batman was what I got.
- 5:02Speaker 1: Yeah, but he's sort of no.
- 5:07Speaker 3: I couldn't agree with you more.
- 5:09Speaker 2: By the way, you guys are in there, so you
- 5:10Speaker 2: may not know this, So I may break news to you.
- 5:13Speaker 2: Did you guys see what Rashid Talib was chanting while
- 5:17Speaker 2: everyone was chanting us A U S A. At one
- 5:19Speaker 2: of the points in the speech, she was chanting kkk
- 5:24Speaker 2: kkk kkk.
- 5:27Speaker 1: Really yes, prison advertising credit credit.
- 5:31Speaker 3: For you guys.
- 5:33Speaker 2: I don't know if you can see, but let's be
- 5:35Speaker 2: our good friend Steve Guess put it out there. Watch
- 5:37Speaker 2: Democrat representative to leave. She's chanting kkk while everyone else
- 5:43Speaker 2: is cheering us A.
- 5:45Speaker 1: Well, and the KKK was founded by Democrats. It was
- 5:50Speaker 1: almost exclusively populated by Democrats. Nathan Bedford Forrest, the founder
- 5:55Speaker 1: of the clan, was a delegate a delegate to the
- 5:58Speaker 1: d NC National Convention eighteen sixty. He was a national
- 6:01Speaker 1: delegate and you look at the Klan was founded by Democrats.
- 6:07Speaker 1: Jim Crow. Laws were founded by Democrats. Segregation was enforced
- 6:11Speaker 1: by Democrats. They have been the party of racial bigotry
- 6:15Speaker 1: the entire history. And by the way, our party, I mean,
- 6:18Speaker 1: we often refer to our party as the Party of Lincoln,
- 6:21Speaker 1: but we were literally founded to abolished slavery, right, That's
- 6:24Speaker 1: why the Republican Party came together. And by the way
- 6:27Speaker 1: we did. The first Republican president is who signed the
- 6:30Speaker 1: Emancipation Proclamation.
- 6:31Speaker 4: Well, you know, on racial animus and Rashida Talib did
- 6:34Speaker 4: you see. I don't know if you caught this, but
- 6:36Speaker 4: when President Trump said, what a wonderful thing we released
- 6:40Speaker 4: all the hostages. We got the hostage released, both dead
- 6:43Speaker 4: and alive. Yeah, we returned even their remains. And most
- 6:47Speaker 4: people stood up. I looked, Ilhan Omar and Rashida Talib
- 6:50Speaker 4: were sitting down.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah. And by the way, at one point they
- 6:54Speaker 1: heckled when there was a reference to the end of
- 6:57Speaker 1: the war in Gaza. They heckled and screamed, Jennis, I mean,
- 7:01Speaker 1: that's that's who their party is.
- 7:03Speaker 2: Well, and if you look at tonight, there was four
- 7:06Speaker 2: Democrat responses like that's not good for your party when
- 7:09Speaker 2: you're that broken.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Four Who were the four?
- 7:13Speaker 2: So you had one in Spanish, you had one that
- 7:15Speaker 2: was a progressive radical, you had one that was like
- 7:18Speaker 2: at the next level monitor, and then you had the
- 7:20Speaker 2: Virginia governor. You had four official responses.
- 7:23Speaker 1: Sorry, I'm gonna have to disagree with you. I don't
- 7:25Speaker 1: even know who they were, but there are four who
- 7:27Speaker 1: were progressive radicals.
- 7:28Speaker 2: Well, I agree with you. Yes, I'm giving you their
- 7:32Speaker 2: their official statement, but they they literally had Hey, depending
- 7:36Speaker 2: on how crazy you are, if you're a Marxist, socialist, communist,
- 7:40Speaker 2: or a radical lefty or like the transgender, or maybe
- 7:43Speaker 2: just like a normal democrat, Uh, here's your all of
- 7:46Speaker 2: your responses for you, and we'll have all of those
- 7:48Speaker 2: for you.
- 7:48Speaker 1: So right after the State of the Union, I did Hannity,
- 7:51Speaker 1: and as I was sitting there waiting to go on,
- 7:54Speaker 1: Fox wouldn't put Hannity on air until Spamberger finished her response.
- 7:59Speaker 1: So I said, and put my airpiece in and it's
- 8:02Speaker 1: just her voice screeching and loud, and I'm turned to
- 8:07Speaker 1: Handy and I said, Sean, I haven't led nearly a
- 8:10Speaker 1: wicked enough life to deserve to listen to this. As
- 8:13Speaker 1: I just turned the volume off, I'm like, I can't.
- 8:16Speaker 1: There's just a limit to how much pain I can endure.
- 8:18Speaker 4: But you know what's very telling about span Berger is
- 8:22Speaker 4: you had Andy Basher come out, who is a serious
- 8:25Speaker 4: presidential candidate Kentucky governor, and he said span Berger is
- 8:29Speaker 4: the model for Democrats in the midterms, which means translation
- 8:34Speaker 4: will run. They will run as it means.
- 8:36Speaker 1: Live, they'll lie, they'll.
- 8:38Speaker 4: Run as moderates, and they will immediately enact the most
- 8:41Speaker 4: radical leftist agenda you could maybe imagine.
- 8:46Speaker 1: I love that the President brought up that to shovel
- 8:50Speaker 1: snow in New York. Under my motor ID you need
- 8:54Speaker 1: two forms of id which I actually had been advising.
- 8:59Speaker 1: I think humor is a really powerful way to drive
- 9:02Speaker 1: this point. And I think that and also the fact
- 9:05Speaker 1: that John ossoff to get to his rally against photo
- 9:08Speaker 1: I D for voting.
- 9:09Speaker 2: You had to show an idot, you had to show
- 9:12Speaker 2: vote I D.
- 9:13Speaker 3: Yeah, this kick.
- 9:14Speaker 4: Was the key, I mean, really the reason that the
- 9:17Speaker 4: State of the Union succeeded. And I agree it was
- 9:20Speaker 4: one of Trump's best speeches. The Warsaw speech in the
- 9:23Speaker 4: first term was also an excellent speech, but this was
- 9:25Speaker 4: up there, and I think the reason it succeeded was
- 9:28Speaker 4: the president had to reassure voters who voted for him
- 9:33Speaker 4: on mass you know, he won the popular vote. He
- 9:35Speaker 4: had to reassure them that we are still the party
- 9:38Speaker 4: of normal, of safety, of flourishing, of sanity.
- 9:45Speaker 3: Of sanity.
- 9:46Speaker 4: Where I think some voters you have this question after
- 9:50Speaker 4: the Minneapolis immigration enforcement Why is it that voters still
- 9:55Speaker 4: support mass deportations but oppose ice supporting people. You know,
- 10:00Speaker 4: that's kind of a contradiction. Why is it that the
- 10:02Speaker 4: fundamentals of the economy are looking pretty good? You know,
- 10:06Speaker 4: record ized stock market, pretty good, inflation, pretty good, job numbers,
- 10:09Speaker 4: pretty good GDP could have been better if not for
- 10:11Speaker 4: the government shutdown that the Dems gave us. Why is
- 10:14Speaker 4: it that they're a little the voters are worried about
- 10:17Speaker 4: the economy, but the economy seems to be doing well.
- 10:19Speaker 4: It's it's this fear that we're in a precarious moment.
- 10:23Speaker 4: And so I think both sides went into this saying
- 10:26Speaker 4: we want to be the party of stability, of security,
- 10:29Speaker 4: of normal and flourishing. That's why Hakim Jeffries told the
- 10:31Speaker 4: Democrats hey, be cool and if you can't be cool,
- 10:35Speaker 4: don't show up.
- 10:36Speaker 1: You know, I think it's sole Green got thrown out.
- 10:38Speaker 3: Al Green couldn't resist aast.
- 10:41Speaker 2: At least he had a big sign that he got
- 10:43Speaker 2: to walk around with, right he felt, he felt just.
- 10:46Speaker 1: So, and as signs said blacks aren't apes. Yeah, And
- 10:50Speaker 1: I turned. I was sitting next to Todd Young and
- 10:53Speaker 1: I said, wow, is out Green protesting Gavin Newsom?
- 10:56Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, look like it.
- 10:59Speaker 1: By the way, Gavin Newsom, he's like the perfect Democrat
- 11:03Speaker 1: made in the laboratory, an idiot, open racist goes in
- 11:10Speaker 1: front of a crowd of African Americans and goes, I'm
- 11:13Speaker 1: just like you, You're stupid and I am too unbelievable.
- 11:16Speaker 4: The Newsome thing is really frustrating because right now he
- 11:19Speaker 4: is the leading candidate for the Democrats, I think, without question,
- 11:23Speaker 4: and he is bettered at the Munich Security Conference.
- 11:26Speaker 3: Newsome's still the leading candidate.
- 11:28Speaker 4: And on the one hand, he has these social media
- 11:30Speaker 4: posts where he's sitting there performatively reading Beloved by Tony Morrison,
- 11:36Speaker 4: performatively reading all these books that.
- 11:38Speaker 1: Are by the way, are you aware that Newsom let
- 11:41Speaker 1: himself on fire in social media exchange about Verdict. No,
- 11:46Speaker 1: so coming back from Munich, did we did a whole
- 11:50Speaker 1: show on Munich lighting up AOC and lighting up Newsom
- 11:55Speaker 1: and Newsom and Munich said Donald Trump is the first
- 11:59Speaker 1: president in history to federalize the National Guard, and so
- 12:03Speaker 1: on verdict. I said, Gavin Newsom is historically illiterate. Yes, uh,
- 12:10Speaker 1: actually you talked about it. I defended your use of
- 12:13Speaker 1: the English language properly, and so I said that, and
- 12:19Speaker 1: then he tweeted out he said, calling someone who's dyslexic
- 12:26Speaker 1: illiterate is a new low, even for Cruise. And mind you,
- 12:32Speaker 1: who knew he was dyslexic? I didn't know that.
- 12:37Speaker 2: Yeah, for a guy that then also claims in a
- 12:40Speaker 2: white podcast so he can read a three hundred page
- 12:42Speaker 2: book in two hours. Don't forget that came out as well.
- 12:45Speaker 2: So so much for being majorly dyslexic, right the sign.
- 12:48Speaker 4: I don't know if you guys saw the memes that
- 12:50Speaker 4: were going around. So I lost a bet on this.
- 12:54Speaker 4: I bet that the Democrats would not have a member
- 12:57Speaker 4: ejected from the speech.
- 12:58Speaker 1: I thought they might have that went down.
- 13:01Speaker 2: Did you actually believe that?
- 13:02Speaker 3: Though I didn't think that.
- 13:04Speaker 4: I thought they would listen to HACKEM Jefferies and try
- 13:06Speaker 4: to chill, but they can't know Ey Green has no chill,
- 13:08Speaker 4: so he opens up.
- 13:09Speaker 1: By the way, there's a very real chance al Green
- 13:12Speaker 1: loses his Democrat primary a week from now. Really, yeah, really,
- 13:15Speaker 1: he's actually in jeopardy. And so I think the antics
- 13:19Speaker 1: were partially. Of course, he did his antics last year,
- 13:22Speaker 1: like waving his cane, which like to embody a grumpy
- 13:26Speaker 1: old man, like get off my lawn, you kids.
- 13:30Speaker 3: It's perfect, but he made it.
- 13:32Speaker 4: He made a real optical error, which is he unfurled
- 13:34Speaker 4: the sign, which from my angle in the gallery I
- 13:36Speaker 4: could not see. I said, what's he saying? And I
- 13:39Speaker 4: guess the sign said black people aren't apes. But the
- 13:42Speaker 4: problem was the way he was holding it, the one,
- 13:48Speaker 4: the one that I saw. Maybe one of those said
- 13:50Speaker 4: that too. The one I also said black people rent apes,
- 13:54Speaker 4: which was like an unfortunate any way you slice it,
- 13:57Speaker 4: These are very unfortunate optics, And I thought, you know,
- 14:00Speaker 4: the Democrat leader in the House asked one thing. He said, hey, guys,
- 14:05Speaker 4: please don't look crazy during the speech, and as the
- 14:10Speaker 4: President is walking into the room, al Green unfurls this
- 14:14Speaker 4: sign and I thought, you have the discipline of a
- 14:17Speaker 4: fruit fly, Like, there is no chance they didn't make
- 14:21Speaker 4: it five minutes.
- 14:22Speaker 2: They're insane, all right. I have to ask you guys
- 14:24Speaker 2: being there, because one of the best lines of the
- 14:26Speaker 2: whole speech, and that was just one of those little
- 14:29Speaker 2: kind of tit for tatlines and it but it worked,
- 14:32Speaker 2: was when he was talking about insider trading and then
- 14:36Speaker 2: he said Nancy Pelosi's name, And it was amazing on
- 14:40Speaker 2: TV because if you didn't know the story.
- 14:43Speaker 1: Free one, you immediately went to every one of us
- 14:46Speaker 1: was there.
- 14:47Speaker 2: Yeah, and I was too, But like if you didn't know,
- 14:50Speaker 2: and then you saw the reaction and you heard the
- 14:54Speaker 2: hissing bit whatever it was in the hall. I don't
- 14:56Speaker 2: know exactly what they were saying. It was like they
- 14:58Speaker 2: were like, you can't say her name, like you know that.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Everybody went and googled insider trading, Nancy Pelosi and then
- 15:05Speaker 2: they learned about the story, Like they literally helped him
- 15:07Speaker 2: sell the story. What was the reaction from the were
- 15:10Speaker 2: Democrats mad or what was the reaction.
- 15:13Speaker 1: You were on the floor, Oh, look, they were mad constantly.
- 15:16Speaker 1: So is there one I will say though, there's a
- 15:18Speaker 1: difference from this year and last year. So last year
- 15:22Speaker 1: they went through the entire State of the Union and
- 15:24Speaker 1: they didn't applaud. They didn't applaud when Trump walked in.
- 15:28Speaker 1: They didn't applaud for anything. They just sat from the
- 15:31Speaker 1: stone faced and heckled and waved their cane in it.
- 15:35Speaker 1: This year, before the State of the Union, I actually
- 15:37Speaker 1: went to several Democrats and asked them. I said, okay,
- 15:41Speaker 1: are you guys going to applaud for the US hockey team, like,
- 15:46Speaker 1: come on? And they all said yes. In fact, several
- 15:49Speaker 1: of them had an expletive They said, fys. And I said, look,
- 15:54Speaker 1: to be clear, last year, you didn't applaud for a
- 15:57Speaker 1: kid with cancer. Yeah, question, okay. One of the Democrats
- 16:02Speaker 1: who I actually likes, I'm not going to identify it,
- 16:05Speaker 1: but he's got a good sense of humor. I said
- 16:06Speaker 1: that to him and he said, yeah, we hate kids
- 16:08Speaker 1: with cancer, which was like, all right, Like, don't argue,
- 16:12Speaker 1: you just kind of vote it. And I'm like, all right, well,
- 16:14Speaker 1: well played.
- 16:15Speaker 3: Like they did it again. This year.
- 16:17Speaker 4: By the way, there was a little girl who couldn't
- 16:19Speaker 4: walk who now and it was the same thing. A
- 16:23Speaker 4: good chunk of Democrats would guess they were trying to
- 16:26Speaker 4: play the stoic card. It did not read at least
- 16:28Speaker 4: from my vantage. I thought it looked really callous because
- 16:32Speaker 4: there was no unity within the party, so there was
- 16:34Speaker 4: no clear messaging. You know, look that it all seemed
- 16:37Speaker 4: pretty disastrous. The question that I have as a as
- 16:41Speaker 4: a proper conservative who is always looking for the downside
- 16:44Speaker 4: of things just to temper my you know, jubilation. Do
- 16:49Speaker 4: you think I think universally the speech was viewed as
- 16:52Speaker 4: quite good, quite effective. Does it make a meaningful difference
- 16:57Speaker 4: in the midterms?
- 16:58Speaker 3: Look, I say it does.
- 17:00Speaker 1: Do you all right? Layout why? I'll tell you why.
- 17:03Speaker 2: This speech was the things that irritate Republican slash moderate
- 17:11Speaker 2: voters about Trump, that it's all about him and he
- 17:15Speaker 2: doesn't know when to you know, the mean tweets and
- 17:17Speaker 2: the when to shut up, and the things that irritate
- 17:20Speaker 2: those that can stay home watching his demeanor tonight. He
- 17:25Speaker 2: came across in such a way of like, these guys
- 17:29Speaker 2: don't want this, These guys don't put you first, these
- 17:32Speaker 2: guys don't do this. He also was giving incredible accolades
- 17:36Speaker 2: and awards and the US hockey team. There was momentum there.
- 17:39Speaker 2: It was one after another. It was one hundred year
- 17:42Speaker 2: old man, a veteran. It was the guy who was
- 17:44Speaker 2: flying the helicopter, the Chinook and telling a story. He
- 17:47Speaker 2: was praising what makes America great and the people that
- 17:51Speaker 2: make America great. I actually think that if you are
- 17:55Speaker 2: a moderate voter, someone maybe a Republican that traditionally stays
- 17:59Speaker 2: home during the terms, I actually think that this speech
- 18:03Speaker 2: landed with you more than any other speech of Trump
- 18:06Speaker 2: the way it played on TV. I think it also
- 18:09Speaker 2: is going to land on the economic issues of him
- 18:12Speaker 2: reminding the no tax on tips, the no tax on overtime,
- 18:16Speaker 2: I'm trying to make life more affordable, the gas prices.
- 18:20Speaker 2: Those are things that I actually think, well, you know,
- 18:22Speaker 2: they've been hammering him on all the approval rings at
- 18:25Speaker 2: forty this or thirty nine or thirty depending on poll.
- 18:27Speaker 2: I think he gets a bump that actually stays because
- 18:31Speaker 2: he landed it so well in the audience, and he
- 18:33Speaker 2: looked really calm, He looked really just like I'm doing
- 18:37Speaker 2: this because I want to fix the country, and other
- 18:40Speaker 2: speeches haven't come across that way.
- 18:42Speaker 3: Always.
- 18:42Speaker 1: Yeah, let me agree with you in that I think
- 18:46Speaker 1: the message tonight was the record of the last year.
- 18:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 18:51Speaker 1: The record of the last year, I believe is objectively phenomenal. Yeah.
- 18:55Speaker 1: And I've been in the Senate now fourteen years. We've
- 18:58Speaker 1: never had a year where we accomplished even a fraction
- 19:02Speaker 1: of what you have been accomplished in the last year.
- 19:05Speaker 1: I mean, it is staggering. And he did a good job.
- 19:07Speaker 1: You know, we talked about on the last pod how
- 19:10Speaker 1: how I spent thirty forty minutes on the phone with
- 19:13Speaker 1: Trump last week, and one of the things we talked
- 19:16Speaker 1: about was messaging for the midterms, and I said, listen,
- 19:20Speaker 1: we need to focus on results, on the very real
- 19:23Speaker 1: results securing the border, ninety nine percent drop in ELU crossings.
- 19:31Speaker 1: And then I encouraged him a message that's not getting
- 19:35Speaker 1: the attention it should is the impact on crime. Yes,
- 19:39Speaker 1: the murder rates have dropped twenty percent, drug overdose deaths
- 19:44Speaker 1: have dropped twenty percent. They're literally thousands of Americans who
- 19:48Speaker 1: were alive today because Trump was elected and Republicans won Congress.
- 19:52Speaker 1: It's a great message and that's been lost. And I
- 19:56Speaker 1: was really happy, like the first twenty minutes of the
- 19:59Speaker 1: speak each were laying out that message and going through
- 20:04Speaker 1: murder rates and crime rates and d C rates and
- 20:07Speaker 1: like how unhappy the Democrats were that crime rates had
- 20:11Speaker 1: plummeted in d C and New Orleans and your hometown
- 20:14Speaker 1: of Memphis, Memphis. Yeah, the Democrats were furious that fewer
- 20:18Speaker 1: people are being murdered.
- 20:18Speaker 3: They wouldn't stand up on mass for murder declining. You
- 20:22Speaker 3: know this.
- 20:22Speaker 4: I was looking at the polls and agriate of the
- 20:24Speaker 4: polls from just January and February leading into.
- 20:27Speaker 1: This, And to be fair, the pro murder community in
- 20:29Speaker 1: America is pretty small.
- 20:31Speaker 3: It is.
- 20:32Speaker 4: Look, it's a constituency, but it's not the one you want.
- 20:35Speaker 4: And so I was looking at as agrid of polls, Mayris, PBS,
- 20:40Speaker 4: a handful of others. And the hard fact I spoke
- 20:44Speaker 4: to some members of Congress about this today. The hard
- 20:46Speaker 4: fact is Republicans are underwater on the economy, on economic perception.
- 20:51Speaker 4: I think you could could turn it around, but right
- 20:54Speaker 4: now we're a little bit underwater.
- 20:55Speaker 3: On healthcare.
- 20:56Speaker 4: Democrats always went on healthcare and on a defensive demand
- 21:00Speaker 4: ocracy or it's kind of a contrived category, but anyway,
- 21:04Speaker 4: they went on that. So the ones that we're winning
- 21:06Speaker 4: on right now quite decisively are immigration and border enforcement
- 21:11Speaker 4: even more so now the border is shut down, and
- 21:14Speaker 4: especially on crime. So the key, it seems to me,
- 21:17Speaker 4: is one that tells you people are concerned about safety,
- 21:21Speaker 4: and two, if you can tie all of that together,
- 21:25Speaker 4: the crime relates obviously to illegal immigration, that's why it's
- 21:28Speaker 4: called illegal and the housing prices even all the way
- 21:32Speaker 4: to the you know the fact that you have six
- 21:34Speaker 4: months consecutive decline on housing prices coinciding with Massy petition two.
- 21:38Speaker 1: Million people being deported, and that's just less demand, right
- 21:41Speaker 1: you know. By the way, like a couple of weeks ago,
- 21:43Speaker 1: the Houston Chronicle had a front page story that said
- 21:48Speaker 1: murder rates in Houston have declined eighteen percent. Yep, And
- 21:52Speaker 1: Heidi showed me the article because you knew. It pissed
- 21:55Speaker 1: me off because the article the Chronicles says nobody can
- 22:01Speaker 1: figure out why. It's completely inexplicable. The experts we talk
- 22:05Speaker 1: about have no idea why the murder rate is dropping,
- 22:08Speaker 1: and it doesn't occur to them that arresting and deporting
- 22:11Speaker 1: murderers and gang bangers will reduce the murder rate. Like
- 22:16Speaker 1: it's not this is not rocket science. Yeah, fewer murderers
- 22:21Speaker 1: means fewer murders, but yet to Democrats that makes no
- 22:25Speaker 1: sense to them, and so that message was good. I
- 22:28Speaker 1: also liked on no tax on tips that he had
- 22:32Speaker 1: the mom who is the waitress stand up and he said,
- 22:36Speaker 1: between no tax on tips and no tax on overtime,
- 22:39Speaker 1: she's going to take home five thousand more dollars this
- 22:43Speaker 1: year than last year. That was real and it's not abstract.
- 22:47Speaker 1: And by the way, the Democrats wouldn't appoud for like
- 22:50Speaker 1: the mom waiting tables. They're not rooting for her, and
- 22:53Speaker 1: they want to take that five thousand dollars and that's
- 22:55Speaker 1: real money.
- 22:55Speaker 4: You know, five thousand dollars is real money. It's not
- 22:58Speaker 4: some abstraction. So nuts and bolts. You know, if this
- 23:02Speaker 4: was a speech, obviously you're at the midterms. Do you
- 23:05Speaker 4: think it moves the needle?
- 23:08Speaker 1: I did keep message discipline of focusing on it. Yes.
- 23:12Speaker 2: By the way, yes, yesterday morning you and I Adam talking
- 23:15Speaker 2: about this. I had breakfast a speaker Johnson, and you
- 23:19Speaker 2: talk about the reason why I think this one sticks.
- 23:21Speaker 2: There is a very real sense that Republican leadership have
- 23:26Speaker 2: our act together for once that we haven't had in
- 23:28Speaker 2: a long time. I also think that matters. Speaker Johnson
- 23:33Speaker 2: understands he basically has a one person majority he does
- 23:37Speaker 2: not want to have, and President Trump doesn't want to
- 23:40Speaker 2: have the Democrats take over the House. It is insanely slim,
- 23:45Speaker 2: and I think they're working so well together the same
- 23:48Speaker 2: way Center that you work so well with the President.
- 23:50Speaker 2: There does seem to be that we're actually on the
- 23:52Speaker 2: same team for once. I've not experienced that many times
- 23:55Speaker 2: in my life in the Republican Party. Like there's always
- 23:58Speaker 2: the ind fighting. We always not as screw up when
- 24:00Speaker 2: we get power. There's different people jocking for positions. There
- 24:04Speaker 2: does seem to be a little bit of momentum now
- 24:06Speaker 2: that we're on the same team going in the midterms.
- 24:08Speaker 2: That's the other reason I think this speech will continue
- 24:10Speaker 2: in the momentum because you have Johnson others advocating.
- 24:13Speaker 1: Look, I hope so to play devil's advocate. We're a
- 24:18Speaker 1: very divided country, and so the people who hate Trump
- 24:22Speaker 1: still hate him after the speech for surecause they're not
- 24:25Speaker 1: actually listening. I do think Ben, you focused on the
- 24:29Speaker 1: right area, which is the people who voted for him
- 24:32Speaker 1: in twenty four but may be demoralized by the press
- 24:36Speaker 1: narrative that has been driven and to the extent this
- 24:40Speaker 1: focuses them on, Wow, we're winning some big, big victories.
- 24:44Speaker 1: I also really liked Look the no tax on tips emphasis.
- 24:47Speaker 1: I liked because I wrote that bill. And I really
- 24:51Speaker 1: liked his emphasis on the Trump accounts because, as you
- 24:54Speaker 1: guys know, I wrote that too, and the Democrats wouldn't
- 24:58Speaker 1: applaud for that.
- 24:58Speaker 4: I'm sorry, I actually have to pa because I'm sitting
- 25:01Speaker 4: in the upper part of the gallery to the right.
- 25:04Speaker 3: If you're the president.
- 25:06Speaker 4: Pointing and you didn't get everyone was standing up at
- 25:09Speaker 4: certain moments. That was one where I bolted up, and
- 25:12Speaker 4: other people were kind of slower. I think they didn't
- 25:14Speaker 4: quite process what the Trump accounts meant. I'm really into
- 25:17Speaker 4: the Trump accounts. Like the Trump accounts I think are
- 25:20Speaker 4: such a white pill, you know, focusing on which is
- 25:25Speaker 4: an existential issue. It's so practical, and I'm going to
- 25:28Speaker 4: confess something. I should follow this. I'm like, professionally, I'm
- 25:31Speaker 4: supposed to follow this closely. I did not know that
- 25:34Speaker 4: you were pushing the Trump accounts. You were, I wrote
- 25:37Speaker 4: it unbelievable. I should have known, but I didn't know.
- 25:40Speaker 1: In fact, do you want to hear the story of
- 25:42Speaker 1: the origin of the Trump accounts. It's a cool story.
- 25:44Speaker 1: I've told it on the pod, but not in a while.
- 25:47Speaker 1: So they originated from a poker game in Vegas. So,
- 25:52Speaker 1: as you guys know, I like poker. And so we're
- 25:55Speaker 1: sitting at the Bellagia three in the morning and Phil Hellmuth,
- 25:59Speaker 1: who's one of the greatest poker players to have ever lived.
- 26:02Speaker 1: Phil would tell you he is the greatest poker player
- 26:05Speaker 1: to ever live, and he's got a real argument to it.
- 26:08Speaker 1: He's got I think fifteen bracelets, so it's crazy.
- 26:12Speaker 3: That's a lot.
- 26:13Speaker 1: So we're sitting there playing poker and he asks me,
- 26:16Speaker 1: he says, hey, do you know Brad Gerster And at
- 26:20Speaker 1: the time I didn't, I'm like, yeah, who's he? And
- 26:23Speaker 1: he's a very successful venture capitalist in Silicon Valley and
- 26:28Speaker 1: he has this idea that was called invest America And like,
- 26:31Speaker 1: what's that? And Phil describes it for a minute and
- 26:35Speaker 1: I said, Hey, that sounds like something I'd be really
- 26:38Speaker 1: interested in. And so Phil pulls out his phone and
- 26:42Speaker 1: he puts together a text thread and connects me and
- 26:44Speaker 1: Brad and says, you two should should talk. You would
- 26:47Speaker 1: really like each other. The next week, Brad gets on
- 26:51Speaker 1: a plane, flies to DC, comes to my office and
- 26:54Speaker 1: pitches the invest America accounts. I immediately called my policy
- 26:59Speaker 1: team in and said, let's start drafting this. So we
- 27:03Speaker 1: drafted the legislation. Now, Brad has said for months he
- 27:06Speaker 1: had talked to a bunch of other senators and none
- 27:09Speaker 1: of them did a damn thing. Huh. He talked to
- 27:12Speaker 1: them and they'd all kind of nod and be like, yeah, yeah,
- 27:14Speaker 1: that's a great idea, and then no one would do anything.
- 27:16Speaker 1: We sat down and wrote the bill. That is the
- 27:20Speaker 1: bill that is Trump Accounts. It was my bill, great
- 27:24Speaker 1: that we wrote, and it is literally the case that
- 27:29Speaker 1: if Phil Hellmuth does not connect me with Brad Gersner
- 27:32Speaker 1: April a year ago, there are no Trump accounts, and
- 27:36Speaker 1: the American the kids of America do not have trillions
- 27:39Speaker 1: and investments, which is what they're going.
- 27:41Speaker 2: To have through Trump account You know, this is Michael, Michael,
- 27:44Speaker 2: you know what I heard there By the way I
- 27:45Speaker 2: heard that. Could you imagine the bills that could have
- 27:48Speaker 2: been written if you, Michael and I were there at
- 27:51Speaker 2: that table, I know, I mean, we could have come
- 27:55Speaker 2: up with we could have cured cancer. Maybe at this point.
- 27:58Speaker 3: We could have ended the ninth and tenth Wars.
- 28:00Speaker 2: That could have added to the record State Department, the
- 28:03Speaker 2: ending of the Michael and Ben Warres.
- 28:04Speaker 1: I like this.
- 28:05Speaker 4: You know, the thing that I love about the Trump
- 28:08Speaker 4: Accounts in particular from the Republican coalitional standpoint, is there,
- 28:12Speaker 4: you know, the right always has all these different ideological
- 28:15Speaker 4: factions because we're more independent thinkers, and the left has
- 28:19Speaker 4: progressives and very progressives and John Fetterman, I guess, and
- 28:22Speaker 4: we you know, we kind of have all these divisions.
- 28:24Speaker 4: And so one of the divisions that's come about in
- 28:26Speaker 4: recent years, last five or ten years, is people who
- 28:28Speaker 4: are focused on more the common good, you know, kind
- 28:31Speaker 4: of an Aristotelian view of politics, and people are more
- 28:34Speaker 4: focused on the libertarian view that comes from classical liberalism.
- 28:38Speaker 3: Up through Sayhayek.
- 28:39Speaker 4: And what I love about the Trump accounts is it
- 28:41Speaker 4: actually marries the two. It's this beautiful It just hits
- 28:45Speaker 4: this sweet spot. It's good that no flattery because I
- 28:49Speaker 4: actually didn't even know you were behind it.
- 28:51Speaker 3: That is really good.
- 28:52Speaker 1: By the way, we had Brad on Verdict, you know,
- 28:56Speaker 1: he's he's come on Verdict and talked about the whole
- 28:58Speaker 1: idea and Brad came up with the idea with his
- 29:01Speaker 1: two teenage sons and they spent years pushing it, and
- 29:07Speaker 1: Brad was there and recognized by the President of the
- 29:09Speaker 1: State of the Union. So Brad had put together a
- 29:13Speaker 1: CEO's council behind the Invest America accounts, and the chairman
- 29:17Speaker 1: of it was Michael Dell. And Michael's a good friend
- 29:19Speaker 1: of mine. He's a Texan and we spent a lot
- 29:20Speaker 1: of time together. And the CEOs had all committed that
- 29:26Speaker 1: they would contributor match to Trump accounts. So they are
- 29:29Speaker 1: two accelerators that are written into these Trump accounts that
- 29:32Speaker 1: make them even more potent. Number one is that employers
- 29:35Speaker 1: can contributor match. And listen, when Congress passed Section four
- 29:41Speaker 1: oh one K of ARISA, nobody knew how fundamentally they
- 29:46Speaker 1: were changing how Americans save for retirement. Today, there's more
- 29:50Speaker 1: than twelve trillion dollars in four to one K accounts.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Trump accounts are four to one case for kids, So
- 29:56Speaker 1: in very short order you're going to see trillions of
- 29:59Speaker 1: dollars in there. The two accelerators, one is that employers
- 30:06Speaker 1: can contributor match, and so all the employers on the
- 30:08Speaker 1: CEO Council had already committed we're going to contributor match.
- 30:13Speaker 1: This is going to become a ubiquitous as standard employee benefit,
- 30:17Speaker 1: just like a four to one K contribution is a
- 30:20Speaker 1: pretty standard employee benefit. You're gonna see employers. We're already
- 30:23Speaker 1: seeing a bunch who will match or contribute to the
- 30:27Speaker 1: Trump accounts of the kids of their employees. So that
- 30:30Speaker 1: accelerates massively. The second thing, and we deliberately wrote this
- 30:35Speaker 1: so that it can accept philanthropy and it can accept
- 30:37Speaker 1: charitable gifts. And as you know, Michael and Susan Dell
- 30:43Speaker 1: have given six and a quarter billion dollars and what
- 30:47Speaker 1: they've given is two hundred and fifty dollars for America's
- 30:51Speaker 1: two hundred and fiftyth birthday, to every child in America
- 30:56Speaker 1: under age ten who lives in a zip code where
- 31:01Speaker 1: the median income is one hundred and fifty thousand or less.
- 31:04Speaker 1: And so we wrote it so you can turn the dials.
- 31:07Speaker 1: You can turn the dials geographically, you can turn the
- 31:10Speaker 1: dials age wise, you can turn the dials income wise.
- 31:13Speaker 1: So Michael's done that. Brad Gerstner has given two hundred
- 31:20Speaker 1: and fifty dollars to every kid in Indiana under age
- 31:24Speaker 1: five in zip codes with median income of one hundred
- 31:28Speaker 1: and fifty thousand or less. And Ray Dalio, the Hedge
- 31:31Speaker 1: Fund billionaire, has sponsored the kids in Connecticut. And I
- 31:35Speaker 1: actually have talked to a number of gazillionaires and Michael,
- 31:41Speaker 1: Dell and Brad are getting on zooms and talking to
- 31:44Speaker 1: people with great wealth. That's awesome, encouraging them give your resources.
- 31:50Speaker 1: And here Michael and I have talked at length about that,
- 31:52Speaker 1: and one of the things that he got excited about. So, look,
- 31:57Speaker 1: Michael and Susan have between one hundred billion and two
- 31:59Speaker 1: hundred million dollars, like it's a massive amount of money,
- 32:03Speaker 1: and they're smart and responsible, and so they've had serious
- 32:06Speaker 1: conversations about how do you give away your fortune? And look,
- 32:13Speaker 1: you look at people who have achieved great fortunes. They
- 32:16Speaker 1: create a foundation. The foundation gets taken over by a
- 32:19Speaker 1: bunch of Marxists who spend all their money undermining everything
- 32:22Speaker 1: the founders believe. Every time Henry Ford is rolling over
- 32:25Speaker 1: in his grave, John D. Rockefeller is spitting in his grave.
- 32:32Speaker 1: And one of the problems with that much money is
- 32:36Speaker 1: it's hard to give it away. Most charities can't take
- 32:39Speaker 1: a billion dollars like it's too much money and it
- 32:41Speaker 1: swamps them. So Michael and Susan have given six and
- 32:45Speaker 1: a quarter billion dollars, but they've told me they are
- 32:49Speaker 1: contemplating giving much much more than that.
- 32:52Speaker 2: That's so cool.
- 32:54Speaker 1: One of the things that's really powerful about these Trump
- 32:56Speaker 1: accounts is they're infinitely scalable. They could literally absorb the
- 33:03Speaker 1: entirety of Michael Dell's fortune and the fortune of every
- 33:08Speaker 1: other gazillionaire. And what is really potent is the time
- 33:14Speaker 1: value of investing. Look, if someone starts saving or investing
- 33:17Speaker 1: when they're sixty, it's hard for it to grow and
- 33:21Speaker 1: accumulate enough to be really significant by the time they
- 33:26Speaker 1: were retiring. What makes the Trump account so incredibly potent
- 33:32Speaker 1: is we're starting at age zero, We're starting at baby,
- 33:36Speaker 1: So you've got a time horizon where the kids of
- 33:39Speaker 1: a single mom waiting table can accumulate hundreds of thousands
- 33:45Speaker 1: and even millions of dollars. And so for philanthropy, the
- 33:49Speaker 1: math is powerful. If you put another thousand dollars in
- 33:52Speaker 1: at the outset, it really really grows. And so that's
- 33:56Speaker 1: something that is going to be really significant to speed
- 34:00Speaker 1: these up and and the point Michael you made, which
- 34:03Speaker 1: which got me really excited, is we're creating a new
- 34:07Speaker 1: generation of capitalists that every kid will have skin in
- 34:12Speaker 1: the game and be an owner of the biggest employers
- 34:14Speaker 1: in America.
- 34:15Speaker 3: I thought this was a really important point.
- 34:17Speaker 4: The President touched on well one that the Trump Accounts
- 34:20Speaker 4: just do that, so it gives people skin in the game.
- 34:23Speaker 4: Even when the President pointed out only half of Americans
- 34:26Speaker 4: have access to for a one case, yeah, they said,
- 34:28Speaker 4: we want to we want to bring that other half of.
- 34:30Speaker 1: Them, let them opt in to the thrift Savings plan.
- 34:32Speaker 1: That's an idea I've talked with the President in the
- 34:34Speaker 1: White House about. I think it's a brilliant idea. I
- 34:36Speaker 1: strongly support it. I'm working on legislation to do that
- 34:39Speaker 1: as well, to codify that right because it's look, the
- 34:43Speaker 1: more you can create investors, get people with equity. And
- 34:49Speaker 1: one of the important things about how how the administration
- 34:52Speaker 1: is designing the Trump Accounts app is that it is
- 34:56Speaker 1: not gonna simply say you've got X dollar in the
- 35:00Speaker 1: s and P.
- 35:00Speaker 3: Five hundred.
- 35:02Speaker 1: It's gonna break down every constituent stock they own within it.
- 35:06Speaker 3: That's awesome.
- 35:07Speaker 1: So a ten year old will be able to see
- 35:09Speaker 1: I own one hundred bucks of Apple or Tesla or
- 35:13Speaker 1: Ford or McDonald's, and they'll see so so a kid
- 35:18Speaker 1: won't be rooting. I hate evil corporations. I want them
- 35:21Speaker 1: to fail. They're gonna be like, wait, I own that corporation.
- 35:23Speaker 1: I want them to do better. That changes their whole worldview.
- 35:27Speaker 1: It makes them capitalists. You know it.
- 35:29Speaker 4: Even during one of the big crises of capitalism in
- 35:32Speaker 4: the early twentieth century, where you had real excesses of
- 35:35Speaker 4: industrialization that created you know, like child labor and all
- 35:38Speaker 4: this stuff, there was this movement among serious Christian thinkers
- 35:43Speaker 4: to try to resolve these tensions between capitalism and the
- 35:47Speaker 4: working poor, and there were all these Chesterton had a
- 35:49Speaker 4: version with Bellock distributism. But the whole point, and there's
- 35:53Speaker 4: didn't really work. But the whole point was you need
- 35:56Speaker 4: people to really have a steak in the society in
- 36:02Speaker 4: following subsidiarity. And you know, all these principles that are
- 36:05Speaker 4: so enshrined in the American system too, and this really
- 36:09Speaker 4: does that where you think, oh, I have a steak
- 36:10Speaker 4: in the corporations.
- 36:11Speaker 3: I have a steak. By the way, I.
- 36:13Speaker 1: Miss geeky, cerebral academic stuff on the pod. I will
- 36:17Speaker 1: say the sort of tenor of verdict has shifted. I
- 36:21Speaker 1: don't know why. I can't imagine the cause, but I'm
- 36:23Speaker 1: just saying, you know, I'm having a loft of nostalgia.
- 36:28Speaker 3: There's a little more Chesterton comes it.
- 36:30Speaker 2: Yes, all the people that just tells the wakes back up.
- 36:33Speaker 2: I got you back, keep going, wake up. Our audience
- 36:38Speaker 2: level just went like this, but we're back now. They're
- 36:40Speaker 2: all awake again. Make your final point.
- 36:41Speaker 1: Go ahead.
- 36:44Speaker 4: This this key is really important, because this is what
- 36:47Speaker 4: really jazzed me about it. I don't like it when
- 36:51Speaker 4: the right fractures into a million directions, because you know,
- 36:53Speaker 4: I feel for Speaker Johnson. He has the worst job
- 36:57Speaker 4: in all of politics. Yes, he has to hurt a
- 36:59Speaker 4: bunch of cats. They all have all sorts of views,
- 37:01Speaker 4: they have all sorts of principles, some of which conflict
- 37:03Speaker 4: with each other, and so it's hard to get the
- 37:05Speaker 4: right to do anything together.
- 37:07Speaker 1: And he is a good and decent Man's amazing.
- 37:11Speaker 3: Yeah, he's one.
- 37:13Speaker 4: He's a wonderful guy, and he's doing a great He
- 37:15Speaker 4: happens to also be doing a great job. But I
- 37:17Speaker 4: just think what the President was speaking on, especially these
- 37:20Speaker 4: kinds of issues. These are the kind of things that
- 37:22Speaker 4: can actually rally the way together with moderate voters, frankly
- 37:27Speaker 4: even central right.
- 37:28Speaker 3: So who don't want the crazy.
- 37:29Speaker 2: Final question for each of you quickly, as we are
- 37:32Speaker 2: hitting about an hour here in our say the union
- 37:35Speaker 2: coverage over under on the midterms. Now, how much better
- 37:39Speaker 2: do you feel going at leaving the end of the
- 37:42Speaker 2: night compared to going into the beginning of the speech tonight.
- 37:44Speaker 2: How much more optimistic are we can hold the house.
- 37:48Speaker 4: Hold the House. It's going to be very hard in
- 37:50Speaker 4: my view to hold the House. I would say, look,
- 37:53Speaker 4: I feel I'll just pick a number. I feel twenty
- 37:56Speaker 4: percent better. If the Republicans can stay on message, if
- 38:01Speaker 4: the Republicans cannot devolve into petty in fighting, if the
- 38:04Speaker 4: Republicans can be disciplined in the way they campaign.
- 38:09Speaker 3: These are all, you know. If wishes were horses, beggars
- 38:12Speaker 3: would ride.
- 38:13Speaker 4: I still think historic headwins best of circumstances. The party
- 38:18Speaker 4: and power, especially with unified government, loses the House in
- 38:20Speaker 4: the midterms.
- 38:21Speaker 3: However, I think that the President did every.
- 38:24Speaker 4: Single thing possible to put the party in an advantage
- 38:28Speaker 4: heading into the center.
- 38:31Speaker 1: And look my view right now, the political environment is rough. Yes,
- 38:38Speaker 1: if the election were today, it would not be a
- 38:41Speaker 1: great outcome. We are nationally in about a D plus
- 38:46Speaker 1: six environment. What that means it is where polling is
- 38:50Speaker 1: nationally is about six points more Democrat than it was
- 38:53Speaker 1: an election day in twenty twenty four. If we're in
- 38:55Speaker 1: a D plus six environment, we lose the House, and
- 38:59Speaker 1: then it is potentially in jeopardy. Crazy if the election
- 39:04Speaker 1: were today, that would be a real possibility. The good
- 39:07Speaker 1: news is we got eight months and the substantive record
- 39:11Speaker 1: is phenomenally good. It's not just a little bit good,
- 39:14Speaker 1: it is insanely good. And so tonight was encouraging because
- 39:18Speaker 1: Trump focused most of his time on laying out methodically
- 39:23Speaker 1: that substantive record and just how good it is and
- 39:27Speaker 1: what we have to do. I mean, I do like
- 39:29Speaker 1: that we have eight months. Most Americans don't know all
- 39:33Speaker 1: these victories we're winning exactly, and so our task is
- 39:36Speaker 1: communicate the victories that are making a real difference in
- 39:40Speaker 1: people's lives. But the good news is we have a
- 39:43Speaker 1: monster amount of substance to talk about. We just need
- 39:46Speaker 1: to talk about it. And I think if we make
- 39:49Speaker 1: that case, we could certainly keep the House and the
- 39:53Speaker 1: Senate and grow our majorities in bode.
- 39:55Speaker 3: There you go, don't forget.
- 39:57Speaker 2: Share this podcast wherever you can with your family and
- 39:59Speaker 2: your friends, and see you back here tomorrow