Latest / The Ben Ferguson Podcast / Democrats Campaign on Impeachment Chaos plus Inside Trump’s High-Risk Iran Gamble
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: If you want to know what Democrats are going to
- 0:03Speaker 1: do if they get control of the House and the Senate,
- 0:06Speaker 1: well they're now literally campaigning off of their agenda item,
- 0:11Speaker 1: and that is to impeach and remove not just President
- 0:14Speaker 1: Donald Trump but also Vice President jd. Vance, even if
- 0:19Speaker 1: it means rigging the US Senate's two hundred and fifty
- 0:22Speaker 1: year old impeachment process. How do we know that. Well,
- 0:27Speaker 1: at far left Democrat, a guy by the name of
- 0:29Speaker 1: George Conway, has explained it all in a new interview
- 0:34Speaker 1: and here is what he said.
- 0:35Speaker 2: And I do think we're going to have also a
- 0:37Speaker 2: democratic Senate, and yeah, I don't know whether it'll be
- 0:41Speaker 2: fifty two, fifty three, fifty four, maybe even more. And
- 0:46Speaker 2: that when you have control of the Senate in that way,
- 0:49Speaker 2: you can set the rules, and the rules this time
- 0:53Speaker 2: should be should provide for a real trial, not these
- 0:58Speaker 2: show arguments, these you know, these statements on the floor
- 1:01Speaker 2: by managers where there's politicians giving speeches, but where you
- 1:06Speaker 2: put on live witnesses and you can show that they're
- 1:09Speaker 2: lying and you can show how they're being done and
- 1:12Speaker 2: they have to answer the questions. And the Chief Justice
- 1:14Speaker 2: of the United States will direct them to answer questions.
- 1:17Speaker 2: A trial, a real trial, that's what the framers of
- 1:21Speaker 2: the Constitution meant, and that will be I think an
- 1:25Speaker 2: education for the American people who will be suffering from
- 1:29Speaker 2: all of the deleterious effects of Trump's chaotic policies and
- 1:34Speaker 2: his you know, psychotic policies. Frankly, he's just he's now
- 1:37Speaker 2: just out of his mind. And at that point, you know,
- 1:42Speaker 2: the trial will show people that this is not the
- 1:44Speaker 2: way government is supposed to operate. This is corrupt buying.
- 1:49Speaker 2: You know, a good trial presentation is going to basically,
- 1:53Speaker 2: I think flip enough Republicans who will be exhausted by
- 1:56Speaker 2: this and who want to rescue their party.
- 2:00Speaker 3: And then gives him jd Vance.
- 2:02Speaker 2: But jd Vance But look, I mean jd Vance is
- 2:06Speaker 2: you know, subject to impeachable offense. He may be impeached
- 2:09Speaker 2: two and removed. That's that's also possible. But also it
- 2:13Speaker 2: will have even if he is not, it will have
- 2:17Speaker 2: a a a chilling or an effect on everybody else
- 2:23Speaker 2: who comes after that. You know, we can't, you can't
- 2:27Speaker 2: do this. You have to obay the law, you have
- 2:29Speaker 2: to obay the constitution, you have to obey your duties
- 2:32Speaker 2: and your oath.
- 2:33Speaker 3: Now let's go back to just the words you heard there.
- 2:35Speaker 1: One of the things he said was a good trial
- 2:38Speaker 1: presentation is going to basically, I think, flip enough Republicans
- 2:42Speaker 1: who will be exhausted by this and who will want
- 2:45Speaker 1: to rescue their party. In other words, he's looking for
- 2:49Speaker 1: the neo cons he's looking for the rhinos Republicans in
- 2:53Speaker 1: name only. And then he added this jd Vance is
- 2:58Speaker 1: subject to impeachable Offen says he may be impeached two
- 3:02Speaker 1: and removed. That's also possible. This is now the Democratic
- 3:07Speaker 1: Party's playbook. And after admitting that they would violate the
- 3:12Speaker 1: two one hundred and fifty year constitutional norm of the
- 3:16Speaker 1: impeachment process, the Democratic Party is literally saying, and we
- 3:22Speaker 1: need to reassert those norms that we used to accept
- 3:26Speaker 1: and take for granted. And if we don't do that,
- 3:29Speaker 1: there's no one else to do it. If Congress can't
- 3:32Speaker 1: do it, nobody can. Now this is the playbook for
- 3:37Speaker 1: the Democratic Party of the midterm elections.
- 3:39Speaker 3: If they gain the houses.
- 3:41Speaker 1: In it, they're saying, to hell with the Constitution, to
- 3:45Speaker 1: hell with America, we are going to go after and
- 3:49Speaker 1: throw out of office every person we don't like we're
- 3:54Speaker 1: going to go after the president, We're going to go
- 3:56Speaker 1: after the vice president, and we'll go after anybody else
- 3:59Speaker 1: that we can understand.
- 4:00Speaker 3: This is the reason why.
- 4:02Speaker 1: You should believe this is because this is all a
- 4:06Speaker 1: piece of the never Trump plan in general. Remember, the
- 4:09Speaker 1: never Trump plan has been to bankrupt President Trump, bankrupt
- 4:14Speaker 1: his family members, overturn Trump's selection. That doesn't work, then
- 4:19Speaker 1: we jail Donald Trump, don't forget, he's got a mug shot,
- 4:22Speaker 1: and then jail the Trump family as well, and then
- 4:26Speaker 1: we act like we're just going to go back to
- 4:28Speaker 1: normal life. No, this is the Democratic Party, now, this
- 4:32Speaker 1: is the new norm Now. When all of that didn't work,
- 4:34Speaker 1: what came next assassinate the president of United States of America.
- 4:39Speaker 3: They tried that as well.
- 4:40Speaker 1: Never forget, the president was in fact shot in the ear,
- 4:44Speaker 1: and if he wouldn't have turned his head, by the
- 4:46Speaker 1: grace of God, unfortunately, we would probably be without Donald
- 4:49Speaker 1: Trump right now. And that's the Democrats whole plan and goal.
- 4:53Speaker 1: The only way to save the norms is to burn
- 4:56Speaker 1: all the norms to the ground. Is also what the
- 4:58Speaker 1: Democratic Party is saying, meaning, we don't respect this country,
- 5:02Speaker 1: we don't respect the laws of this country. We sure
- 5:04Speaker 1: as hell don't respect the Constitution. We don't respect the
- 5:08Speaker 1: founding fathers, we don't respect the court system, we don't
- 5:10Speaker 1: respect the Supreme Court. We delegitimize all of it. Now,
- 5:16Speaker 1: you may say, all right, Conway is a political guy
- 5:19Speaker 1: that's been out there for a long time, and he's kind.
- 5:23Speaker 1: We know he's a lefty, we know he hates Trump.
- 5:25Speaker 1: He's got Trump Dranger syndrome. Surely he can't be speaking
- 5:28Speaker 1: on behalf of like Democratic candidates.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Well, let me just remind you.
- 5:33Speaker 1: Conway is now running for the United States Congress to
- 5:37Speaker 1: replace retiring Representative Jerry Naviler in New York's twelfth congressional district,
- 5:42Speaker 1: which is kind of perfect if you think about it.
- 5:45Speaker 1: Conway would be the perfect replacement for Democrats.
- 5:48Speaker 3: Both I and Naveler are old.
- 5:50Speaker 1: Well, they're ugly, they're fat, they're homely, they're leftists, they're authoritarians,
- 5:54Speaker 1: and they both walk funny.
- 5:56Speaker 3: You can't make it up.
- 5:57Speaker 1: Conway, by the way, is an individual here who is
- 6:01Speaker 1: behind in the polls. He's got some other crazies he's
- 6:04Speaker 1: got to run behind as well, and some of those
- 6:08Speaker 1: are just really creepy. Individuals. I'll save that for another show.
- 6:12Speaker 1: But what I do want you to understand about what
- 6:15Speaker 1: George Conway is saying here, and what is very real
- 6:18Speaker 1: is the Democrats that are on the ballot. This is
- 6:21Speaker 1: what they are running on. This is the same party
- 6:25Speaker 1: that already spied on the American people. We know in
- 6:29Speaker 1: fact now, and this coming from the Blaze media, that
- 6:32Speaker 1: the government funded a weapon to fight terrorism and instead,
- 6:37Speaker 1: do you want to know what happened? They used it
- 6:40Speaker 1: on the Blaze, a conservative news site. An agency established
- 6:46Speaker 1: by Barack Obama backed companies that took steps to limit
- 6:51Speaker 1: America's speech. And it didn't take long for a federal
- 6:54Speaker 1: government agency originally designed to censor certain foreign entities and
- 7:00Speaker 1: curate their narratives on terrorism to literally be turned on Americans. Now,
- 7:05Speaker 1: this goes back to President Barack Obama. He issued an
- 7:08Speaker 1: executive order all the way back in twenty eleven establishing
- 7:11Speaker 1: the Center for Strategic counter Terrorism Communications within the State Department.
- 7:16Speaker 1: That doesn't sound threatening to any of us, right, Well,
- 7:19Speaker 1: you'd be wrong. They weaponized this exact agency and these
- 7:23Speaker 1: strategic counter terrorism communication against conservatives. Now, the agency was
- 7:28Speaker 1: initially tasked with quote using communication tools to reduce radicalization
- 7:33Speaker 1: by terrorists, an extremist violence and terrorism that threatened the
- 7:39Speaker 1: interest in national security of the United States quote unquote.
- 7:43Speaker 1: Obama then broadened the mission of the agency and renamed
- 7:45Speaker 1: it the Global Engagement Center in another executive order just
- 7:51Speaker 1: months prior to Donald Trump's election victory in sixteen. Now,
- 7:55Speaker 1: the Global Engagement Center, overseen by a steering committee of
- 7:59Speaker 1: Deep State officials, codified into law in the twenty seventeen
- 8:02Speaker 1: National Defense Authorization Act and afforded both grant making authority
- 8:09Speaker 1: and the ability to quote leverage expertise from outside the
- 8:12Speaker 1: federal government, eventually became, as one former intelligence source said,
- 8:18Speaker 1: an incubator for the domestic disinformation complex quote unquote, well,
- 8:23Speaker 1: in the final days of the first Trump presidency, we're
- 8:26Speaker 1: now learning that the deep State and its censorship contractors,
- 8:31Speaker 1: desperate to control the narrative about the twenty twenty presidential
- 8:34Speaker 1: election and the COVID nineteen virus, turned this disinformation complex
- 8:40Speaker 1: on conservative site Blaze Media, and a quote proof of
- 8:44Speaker 1: concept test is what they claimed it was. According to
- 8:49Speaker 1: the discovery evidence gleaned by the federalists in a now
- 8:52Speaker 1: settled case against the government, the Global Engagement Center backed
- 8:56Speaker 1: a trial targeting Blaze Media and the free speech in
- 9:01Speaker 1: its platforms. Despite concerns at the State Department about possibly
- 9:05Speaker 1: censoring an American company with an American audience in contradiction
- 9:11Speaker 1: of the agency's foreign focus mandate, it didn't matter.
- 9:16Speaker 3: The Global Engagement Center.
- 9:18Speaker 1: Which Secretary of Saint Marco Rubio acknowledge actively silenced and
- 9:23Speaker 1: censored the voices of Americans that we're supposed to be serving,
- 9:28Speaker 1: was nominally closed in January of twenty twenty five, then
- 9:32Speaker 1: effectively killed by the Trump administration last April hundred, its
- 9:35Speaker 1: final name the Counter Foreign Information Manipulation Interference Hub. Now
- 9:41Speaker 1: two years prior to the agency's demise, the Federalists and
- 9:45Speaker 1: several other plaintiffs filed a lawsuit against the Global Engagement
- 9:49Speaker 1: Center and the State Department. You may be asking yourself,
- 9:52Speaker 1: why have I never heard about this? Because the media
- 9:55Speaker 1: didn't want you to know about it. The lawsuit accused
- 9:59Speaker 1: the government of action actively intervening in the news media
- 10:01Speaker 1: market throughout the Global Engagement Center to render disfavored press
- 10:07Speaker 1: outlets unprofitable by funding the infrastructure, development, and marketing and
- 10:13Speaker 1: promotion of censorship technology and private censorship enterprises. To covertly
- 10:20Speaker 1: suppress speech of a segment of the American press. We'll
- 10:25Speaker 1: guess exactly what press that was. It was conservative media.
- 10:30Speaker 1: So if you think that Democrats in this midterm election
- 10:34Speaker 1: are not going to turn this agency right back on
- 10:37Speaker 1: to silence and censor conservatives, you're insane. And if you
- 10:41Speaker 1: think the Democratic Party isn't going to go a wall
- 10:44Speaker 1: and destroy America's constitution right away if they get power,
- 10:49Speaker 1: you're also wrong. They want to get rid of Trump
- 10:52Speaker 1: and the vice presidency and anyone else that stands in
- 10:55Speaker 1: their way, and now they're saying it openly in interviews
- 10:59Speaker 1: for every one to see. All Right, so let's deal
- 11:03Speaker 1: with a elephant in the room and this really growing
- 11:07Speaker 1: conversation right now about President Trump just straight up saying
- 11:11Speaker 1: what so many Americans are thinking, and that is that, well,
- 11:15Speaker 1: NATO and our quote unquote allies are like pretty much worthless.
- 11:21Speaker 1: They don't do much for us, right like they have
- 11:23Speaker 1: hung us out to dry. So is there a way
- 11:26Speaker 1: is the president described it to punish NATO allies? And
- 11:29Speaker 1: if you understand history, it's not hard to see why.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Now if you go back and look at the data
- 11:34Speaker 1: the United States has carried the overwhelming burden of NATO,
- 11:39Speaker 1: not just in money, but also in manpower, in leading it,
- 11:44Speaker 1: with strategy with other bad actors in the world, and
- 11:48Speaker 1: just overall leadership. NATO was, in theory created as a
- 11:53Speaker 1: collective defense alliance.
- 11:57Speaker 3: That's not what it really is though, all right.
- 11:59Speaker 1: The reality is that America has been acting as the
- 12:02Speaker 1: only defender, the primary defender, if you want to call it,
- 12:06Speaker 1: that of Europe while many of the quote unquote and
- 12:10Speaker 1: I call them quote unquote allies because they don't act
- 12:12Speaker 1: like it, have failed to live up to their commitments
- 12:15Speaker 1: for decades and they knew that America would keep footing
- 12:18Speaker 1: the bill. Let's just start with the basics, Okay. NATO
- 12:22Speaker 1: countries agreed to spend two percent of their GDP on defense.
- 12:28Speaker 3: Now, that was not a suggestion. I want you to understand.
- 12:32Speaker 1: That was the actual promise, like the guarantee, and for
- 12:36Speaker 1: many years, many of these countries haven't done that at all.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Instead of investing in their own security, they just decided,
- 12:44Speaker 1: we'll rely on America to not only pick up the tab,
- 12:47Speaker 1: but to come save our aas's if we ever need them. Now,
- 12:52Speaker 1: that's when it gets even more frustrating for me. Because
- 12:56Speaker 1: some of the same countries that are literally purposely underfunding
- 13:02Speaker 1: their own militaries, they're actually spending heavy on domestic programs.
- 13:08Speaker 1: Why are they doing that? Because they expect you and
- 13:10Speaker 1: I as taxpayers to guarantee their protection.
- 13:14Speaker 3: Now.
- 13:14Speaker 1: President Trump has been signing the alarm on this four years.
- 13:17Speaker 1: He was talking about this in fifteen and sixteen and
- 13:20Speaker 1: even before that when he was in the private sector
- 13:23Speaker 1: that America has taken advantage of. And his position now
- 13:28Speaker 1: is actually pretty simple. If you want America to protect you,
- 13:33Speaker 1: then you need to start paying your fair share. And
- 13:36Speaker 1: it's not even about just the money. It's also about
- 13:39Speaker 1: loyalty and priorities. The White House Press Secretary had this
- 13:43Speaker 1: to say when she was asked about it from the
- 13:45Speaker 1: briefing room.
- 13:47Speaker 3: John John, go ahead, thanks a lot, Caroline.
- 13:50Speaker 4: Two questions for you. One has to do with a statement,
- 13:53Speaker 4: a joint statement put out this morning by some of
- 13:56Speaker 4: America's European allies Arnato allies, and in that joint statement,
- 13:59Speaker 4: they said, regarding the Strait of Formuz, our governments will
- 14:03Speaker 4: contribute to ensuring freedom of navigation in the Strait of
- 14:07Speaker 4: for mouse, at least, the administration's reaction to that joint statement.
- 14:11Speaker 4: Is that smooth things over when the President meets with
- 14:14Speaker 4: NATO's Secretary General a little bit later this afternoon.
- 14:17Speaker 5: I have a direct quote from the President of the
- 14:19Speaker 5: United States on NATO, and I will share it with
- 14:21Speaker 5: all of you.
- 14:21Speaker 3: They were tested and they failed.
- 14:24Speaker 5: And I would add it's quite sad that NATO turned
- 14:26Speaker 5: their backs on the American people over the course of
- 14:28Speaker 5: the last six weeks when it's the American people who
- 14:30Speaker 5: have been defunding their defense. As you know, President Trump
- 14:34Speaker 5: will be meeting with Secretary Ruta in a couple of
- 14:36Speaker 5: hours here at the White House, and I know he
- 14:37Speaker 5: looks forward to having a very frank and candid conversation
- 14:40Speaker 5: with him.
- 14:41Speaker 1: Now, before I even get to some of the money
- 14:43Speaker 1: aspects of this, let me just talk about the loyalty aspect,
- 14:47Speaker 1: all right. There have been repeated moments where NATO allies
- 14:51Speaker 1: have been deliberately slow to act. They've also been multiple
- 14:55Speaker 1: moments where they've been divided or outright unwilling to step
- 15:00Speaker 1: up when it matters the most, because it's all about
- 15:03Speaker 1: the money to them, whether it is confronting our adversaries,
- 15:06Speaker 1: whether it's increasing their own defense readiness or they're were
- 15:09Speaker 1: less reliant on the US or backing US let initiatives
- 15:13Speaker 1: on the global stage. Our NATO allies have been screwing
- 15:17Speaker 1: us every chance they get. So what happens if the
- 15:21Speaker 1: United States of America stops treating NATO as a one
- 15:25Speaker 1: way street? That is the question the media should be asking,
- 15:28Speaker 1: and they're not. It could actually mean a range of
- 15:31Speaker 1: different things happen. It could actually make Europe stand up
- 15:35Speaker 1: for themselves more and that would actually be a good
- 15:38Speaker 1: thing for US in this country. It would also force
- 15:42Speaker 1: them to more directly meet their obligations to applying economic
- 15:47Speaker 1: or even diplomatic pressure on others and saying to their
- 15:52Speaker 1: allies within NATO outside the US like, hey, we got
- 15:55Speaker 1: to step up, and you got to step up, and
- 15:56Speaker 1: in other countries like, well, if we're going to step up,
- 15:59Speaker 1: then you better step up because then there would be
- 16:01Speaker 1: actual accountability. Now, the goal for the White House, I
- 16:05Speaker 1: want to be clear, and I've talked to the White
- 16:07Speaker 1: House about this, is not to abandon NATO. It is
- 16:11Speaker 1: to in essence, rebalance it as it's been described, or
- 16:15Speaker 1: even rework it, or reorganize it, or if you really
- 16:21Speaker 1: want to look at it, for what it is, it
- 16:23Speaker 1: needs to have a balance sheet that has changed drastically.
- 16:27Speaker 1: The President has made it clear that the current system
- 16:31Speaker 1: rewards weakness and dependency. It penalizes the country doing the
- 16:36Speaker 1: most to keep the alliance strong, which, over and over
- 16:38Speaker 1: again is you guessed it, us, the United States of
- 16:41Speaker 1: America and our tax dollars. And for far too long,
- 16:45Speaker 1: as Trump has been saying this, America has been expected
- 16:48Speaker 1: to do more, spend more, risks more, including our men
- 16:51Speaker 1: and women in uniform, and the others who are doing
- 16:55Speaker 1: the least are benefiting the most from our protections. Now,
- 16:59Speaker 1: let's also just talk about the money, because this matters.
- 17:03Speaker 1: As of the twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five budget,
- 17:05Speaker 1: that's the latest that we have, the United States is
- 17:09Speaker 1: the largest contributor to NATO's direct budget, accounting for approximately
- 17:13Speaker 1: fifteen point eight to sixteen percent of the shared common
- 17:17Speaker 1: funded budget.
- 17:18Speaker 3: All right.
- 17:19Speaker 1: This direct funding, by the way, covers NATO's headquarters, joint operations,
- 17:25Speaker 1: and infrastructure, amounting to about five hundred and seventy two
- 17:29Speaker 1: million to seven hundred and fifty three million in twenty
- 17:34Speaker 1: twenty four. These are the best numbers I have. That's
- 17:36Speaker 1: a hell of a lot of our tax dollars. Now,
- 17:39Speaker 1: the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the North Atlantic Treaty
- 17:42Speaker 1: Organization and the Extended Group is very interesting because here's
- 17:47Speaker 1: the breakdown of the US funding. Number one, direct funding,
- 17:52Speaker 1: that is the common budget. It is a percentage share.
- 17:55Speaker 1: The US contributes about one sixth of NATO's direct annual
- 17:59Speaker 1: budge budget, which totaled around three point five billion in
- 18:03Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Now, as in March of twenty twenty four,
- 18:06Speaker 1: the US and Germany shared the highest percentage, both paying
- 18:10Speaker 1: fifteen point eighty eight percent of the Common funded budget.
- 18:15Speaker 1: You go back and look at the twenty nineteen agreement,
- 18:19Speaker 1: all right, it reduced the US share from twenty two
- 18:22Speaker 1: percent to about sixteen percent. That would be matching Germany.
- 18:27Speaker 1: Then NATO has another part, and that's their indirect funding.
- 18:30Speaker 1: That's defense spending. There's a two percent target. NATO members
- 18:35Speaker 1: aim to spend two percent of their own gross te
- 18:38Speaker 1: metastic product on national defense. Now, the US is spending,
- 18:42Speaker 1: for example, in twenty twenty three, about three point four
- 18:45Speaker 1: to nine percent of its GDP on defense and total
- 18:49Speaker 1: defense output in terms of raw dollars, the US accounts
- 18:53Speaker 1: for roughly sixty to sixty two percent of the total
- 18:58Speaker 1: defense spending of all NATO nations combined.
- 19:00Speaker 3: What does that mean?
- 19:01Speaker 1: We're the ones doing all the work and they're getting
- 19:03Speaker 1: the benefit of our hard work. That is estimated to
- 19:06Speaker 1: be about one trillion dollars in twenty twenty five. That
- 19:10Speaker 1: number is going to go up in twenty twenty six
- 19:11Speaker 1: because of what's happening in Iran. Just so you understand now,
- 19:15Speaker 1: the recent quote promises or developments have been a five
- 19:19Speaker 1: percent target. Following pressure from the Trump administration that NATO
- 19:24Speaker 1: allies in June of twenty twenty five agreed to a
- 19:27Speaker 1: new non binding goal of increasing spending defense spending to
- 19:31Speaker 1: five percent of GDP by twenty thirty five. Guess what,
- 19:35Speaker 1: Most of the countries aren't moving at all, because it
- 19:36Speaker 1: kicked the can down the road a decade to twenty
- 19:40Speaker 1: thirty five. All right, European allies in Canada have significantly
- 19:44Speaker 1: increased their spending, however, with estimates suggesting all members would
- 19:49Speaker 1: meet the two percent target at least now for the
- 19:53Speaker 1: first time. But there's still far too many other countries
- 19:56Speaker 1: that are not doing it. This goes back to exactly
- 19:59Speaker 1: what I said about the President of the United States
- 20:02Speaker 1: of America, Donald Trump understands that unless you're willing to
- 20:07Speaker 1: walk away and directly criticize these quote allies and say
- 20:12Speaker 1: good luck defending yourself, nothing will change, nothing at all
- 20:19Speaker 1: will change.
- 20:20Speaker 3: And the President knows that.
- 20:23Speaker 1: So is it time for America to say to our allies,
- 20:27Speaker 1: our fake allies and NATO, good luck, like defend yourself,
- 20:30Speaker 1: good luck. Yes, overwhelmingly, that is exactly what we should
- 20:34Speaker 1: be doing. I think there's a very good chance that
- 20:38Speaker 1: is where we're headed. I think there's a very good
- 20:41Speaker 1: chance that this is what the future is going to
- 20:43Speaker 1: look like. And I'm honestly beyond thrilled that this is
- 20:47Speaker 1: what's happening.
- 20:50Speaker 3: Vice President JD.
- 20:51Speaker 1: Vance is heading to Pakistan to lead the US delegation,
- 20:55Speaker 1: and direct negotiations with Iran is what we're being told
- 20:58Speaker 1: at this hour, are expected to begin immediately. And the
- 21:03Speaker 1: reason why is President Trump is clearly impatient and ready
- 21:07Speaker 1: for results, for something real to happen now. The US
- 21:11Speaker 1: expects good faith negotiations, and if Iran stalls or plays games,
- 21:16Speaker 1: the White House says, pressure will ramp right back up.
- 21:20Speaker 1: Vance has even worn that Iran would be making a
- 21:22Speaker 1: serious mistake if it allows these talks to collapse.
- 21:27Speaker 6: A threat to wipe Iranian civilization off the map still
- 21:31Speaker 6: on the table. Is it fair to keep ninety million
- 21:33Speaker 6: Iranians under that threat for the actions of their leaders.
- 21:36Speaker 7: Well, look, the leadership is really to blame for the
- 21:39Speaker 7: condition of the country in Iran. The President of the
- 21:41Speaker 7: United States has made very clear that the United States
- 21:44Speaker 7: has a lot of leverage here. We have economic leverage,
- 21:47Speaker 7: we've got military leverage. What he's trying to do is
- 21:50Speaker 7: make sure the American people are safe and strike a
- 21:52Speaker 7: deal that's good for the American people. I just look,
- 21:55Speaker 7: I encourage the Iranians to come to the table. Seriously,
- 21:58Speaker 7: we've seen some signs that they're we're going to do that.
- 22:00Speaker 7: We seen some signs of bravado. Fundamentally weren't a good spot.
- 22:04Speaker 7: They're reopening the straits, we have a ceasefire, and frankly,
- 22:07Speaker 7: if they break their into the bargain, then they're going
- 22:09Speaker 7: to see some serious consequences.
- 22:11Speaker 6: Wiping them off the map is different than an economic
- 22:13Speaker 6: leverage or military leverage. Why is that kind of language
- 22:17Speaker 6: useful in this kind of scenario.
- 22:19Speaker 7: Well, again, the President of the United States is saying
- 22:22Speaker 7: that unless the Iranians do the right thing, he is
- 22:24Speaker 7: going to have some serious consequences for the regime. We
- 22:27Speaker 7: obviously don't want the people of Iran to suffer, but
- 22:30Speaker 7: we have a lot of leverage the President of United
- 22:32Speaker 7: States could use. And it's why I think it's so
- 22:34Speaker 7: important for the Iranians to be negotiators in good faith.
- 22:38Speaker 1: Now what many of you may be asking this question,
- 22:40Speaker 1: what is actually even being negotiated? These talks are not small,
- 22:44Speaker 1: They are really massive, and at the center of the
- 22:47Speaker 1: negotiations is a long term regional stability and that all
- 22:52Speaker 1: revolves around Rand's nuclear ambitions. They also in the negotiations
- 22:57Speaker 1: are ensuring safe passage through the Strait of for moves.
- 23:01Speaker 1: There's even been discussions of a broader framework that could
- 23:04Speaker 1: include sanction relief, which Iran is begging for. That's only,
- 23:08Speaker 1: by the way, going to happen if Iran makes major concessions.
- 23:13Speaker 1: There's also just the reality check of all this. The
- 23:16Speaker 1: ceasefire is temporary, it's also conditional, and it could collapse
- 23:21Speaker 1: at any moment within the next less than two weeks
- 23:24Speaker 1: now since it began, even officials inside the White House
- 23:28Speaker 1: acknowledge this is just a first step, not a final deal,
- 23:32Speaker 1: and there are still major disagreements, especially over the nuclear
- 23:36Speaker 1: enrichment that Iran is obsessed with, as well as the
- 23:40Speaker 1: regional conflict like Lebanon. The vice President was asked about that,
- 23:45Speaker 1: and here's what he said.
- 23:47Speaker 6: There seems to be a disagreement about whether Lebanon was
- 23:49Speaker 6: included in this proposal. And the Seeker of the Parliament
- 23:52Speaker 6: you're going to sit across from the table from an Islamabad,
- 23:55Speaker 6: it's just said that he thinks negotiations would be unreasonable
- 23:58Speaker 6: while that war is ongoing. Whould you ask Israel to
- 24:01Speaker 6: hold off strikes to allow some space for these songs.
- 24:04Speaker 7: Well, first of all, I know there's been some conversations
- 24:06Speaker 7: between the Israelis and the leadership of our country today.
- 24:10Speaker 7: I haven't been involved in that because I've been busy
- 24:11Speaker 7: doing stuff in Hungary. I'm actually supposed to get an
- 24:14Speaker 7: up date when I get on the plane. But let
- 24:15Speaker 7: me say a couple things. First of all, I actually
- 24:18Speaker 7: think and there's a lot of bad faith negotiation and
- 24:21Speaker 7: a lot of bad faith you know, propaganda going on.
- 24:25Speaker 7: I think this comes from a legitimate misunderstanding. I think
- 24:28Speaker 7: the Iranians thought that the ceasefire included Lebanon, and it
- 24:32Speaker 7: just didn't. We never made that promise, We never indicated
- 24:35Speaker 7: that was going to be the case. What we said
- 24:37Speaker 7: is that the ceasefire would be focused on Iran, and
- 24:39Speaker 7: the ceasefire would be focused on America's allies, both Israel
- 24:42Speaker 7: and the Golf Air of States. Now that said, the Israelis,
- 24:46Speaker 7: as I understand it again, I'm supposed to get a
- 24:48Speaker 7: full of report when I get on the plane, have
- 24:49Speaker 7: actually offered, to be frankly, to check themselves a little
- 24:55Speaker 7: bit in Lebanon because they want to make sure that
- 24:58Speaker 7: our negotiation is successful, not because that is part of
- 25:01Speaker 7: the ceasefire. I think that's the Israelis try to set
- 25:04Speaker 7: up us up for success, and we'll, of course see
- 25:06Speaker 7: how that unfolds in the next few days. But look,
- 25:09Speaker 7: if Iran wants to let this negotiation fall apart in
- 25:12Speaker 7: a conflict where they were getting hammered over Lebanon, which
- 25:16Speaker 7: has nothing to do with them, and which the United
- 25:19Speaker 7: States never once said was part of the ceasefire, that's
- 25:22Speaker 7: ultimately their choice. We think that would be dumb, but
- 25:24Speaker 7: that's their choice.
- 25:26Speaker 1: We think that would be dumb, but that is their choice.
- 25:30Speaker 1: The Vice President wasn't done there by the way. He
- 25:33Speaker 1: also talked about who he's negotiating with, and can you
- 25:36Speaker 1: negotiate with people that well are a little crazy.
- 25:39Speaker 7: What's happening on the ground in Iran is that you
- 25:42Speaker 7: have clearly the position of the government, which is to
- 25:45Speaker 7: negotiate with the United States of America.
- 25:47Speaker 3: You have the position of the President of United.
- 25:49Speaker 7: States, which is to send the negotiators to Pakistan and
- 25:52Speaker 7: engage in this good faith negotiation. And then yes, you
- 25:55Speaker 7: have some crazy people at the fringes of the Iranian
- 25:58Speaker 7: system who are leaking anonymous either for propaganda purposes or
- 26:02Speaker 7: because they're embarrassed, or because they don't like what happened.
- 26:05Speaker 7: And the final point, when I say they don't like
- 26:07Speaker 7: what happened, what we know is that the United States
- 26:09Speaker 7: accomplished its military objectives. What we know is the United
- 26:12Speaker 7: States could have imposed significant additional military and economic costs
- 26:17Speaker 7: in Iran and still has the capacity to do so.
- 26:20Speaker 7: But we think, thankfully, at this point, I think have
- 26:22Speaker 7: a ceasefire thanks to the leadership of the President of
- 26:24Speaker 7: the United States. We have the Iranians promising to open
- 26:28Speaker 7: the straits of poor moves, and we have a negotiation
- 26:30Speaker 7: that's supposed to start this weekend.
- 26:32Speaker 3: That's the truth. I think it's a good first step.
- 26:34Speaker 7: We're going to see if we can make more progress
- 26:36Speaker 7: here in the days to come.
- 26:39Speaker 1: So it seems like the Vice President is hopeful, but
- 26:42Speaker 1: he also seems to be very realistic about what he's
- 26:45Speaker 1: dealing with. The President clearly is sending him with, hey,
- 26:48Speaker 1: good luck, see what you can get done. There also
- 26:51Speaker 1: seems to be a reality within this administration that there's
- 26:55Speaker 1: a very good chance that Iran and the negotiations, well,
- 26:58Speaker 1: they're not coming to the table in good faith. There
- 27:01Speaker 1: are wreckers within the Iranian hierarchy holding on for dear life.
- 27:05Speaker 1: And the Vice President sounded a warning on competing factions
- 27:09Speaker 1: within Iran, with some open to good faith negotiations with
- 27:12Speaker 1: the US in the coming weeks, and then there's the spoilers,
- 27:16Speaker 1: those that are wanting to do nothing at all.
- 27:19Speaker 3: Now.
- 27:19Speaker 1: The Vice President is also i think, being honest about
- 27:23Speaker 1: the rocky start of the ceasefire, stating that look, it's
- 27:27Speaker 1: really up to Iran if they want to give up
- 27:29Speaker 1: almost immediately as everything started, that would be dumb, as
- 27:33Speaker 1: he described it. Now, the Vice President in the White
- 27:36Speaker 1: House also talked a lot about Israel over the last
- 27:39Speaker 1: twelve hours.
- 27:40Speaker 3: As he understood it, the Vice President said.
- 27:43Speaker 1: Israel frankly offered to check themselves a little bit in
- 27:46Speaker 1: Lebanon because they want to make sure that our negotiations
- 27:51Speaker 1: the US and Iran are successful. And that's not because
- 27:55Speaker 1: that is part of the ceasefire. He said, again, I
- 27:59Speaker 1: think that the Israeli are trying to set us up
- 28:01Speaker 1: for success, and well, of course see how that unfolds
- 28:04Speaker 1: in the next few days. He also told reporters that
- 28:08Speaker 1: it would be unwise for randon in the ceasefire because
- 28:12Speaker 1: of the Israel strikes on Lebanon. The White House Press
- 28:15Speaker 1: secretary also saying this from the Oval.
- 28:19Speaker 8: Danny, thanks, thanks corn would President Trump liked to see
- 28:22Speaker 8: Lebanon including this peace deal, says, you know that's been
- 28:25Speaker 8: increased as really the strikes on leven In today with
- 28:28Speaker 8: dozens of casualties.
- 28:29Speaker 5: Then sure Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire that
- 28:32Speaker 5: has been relayed to all parties involved in the ceasefire.
- 28:35Speaker 3: As you know.
- 28:36Speaker 5: Prime Minister in Netanyahoo put out a statement last night
- 28:38Speaker 5: in support of the ceasefire. In support of the United
- 28:41Speaker 5: States his efforts, and he's also asshored to President. They'll
- 28:44Speaker 5: continue to be a helpful partner throughout the course of
- 28:46Speaker 5: the next two weeks.
- 28:47Speaker 3: Is there now?
- 28:49Speaker 1: Let me also be clear, all of this that we're
- 28:51Speaker 1: talking about right now is coming as the Islamic Iranian
- 28:54Speaker 1: regimes military threatened to expanded strikes against the Persian energy
- 29:00Speaker 1: facilities and US interests in the wake of President Trump
- 29:04Speaker 1: threatening to unleash American firepower against the country's infrastructure. So
- 29:10Speaker 1: if these talks are gonna go well, it honestly may
- 29:14Speaker 1: take a real miracle for something to come out of it.
- 29:17Speaker 1: Iran seems to be digging in and not dealing with reality.
- 29:21Speaker 1: They're holding on for dear life to their power. They
- 29:24Speaker 1: don't care about their people if they suffer. That would
- 29:27Speaker 1: include if the bridges are hit and their infrastructure aka
- 29:30Speaker 1: their energy source their electricity is gone as well. So
- 29:35Speaker 1: here it is the President of United States of America
- 29:38Speaker 1: in a tough spot and the Vice President doing everything
- 29:41Speaker 1: he can to try to give peace another chance before
- 29:45Speaker 1: they have to make a real decision which what will
- 29:48Speaker 1: come next for America and our foreign policy.
- 29:52Speaker 3: We'll keep following this story.
- 29:53Speaker 1: I can promise you that we've got a lot more
- 29:56Speaker 1: that's going to happen the days ahead, so make sure
- 29:58Speaker 1: you don't forget. Grab our Piot podcast, the Ben Ferguson
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