Latest / The Ben Ferguson Podcast / Supreme Court's Function in Colorado Case, Terror Threat in the US from Hezbollah, & Will SCOTUS Be Unanimous on Trump Ballot Decision Week In Review
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome.
- 0:00Speaker 2: It is Verdict with Center Ted Cruz, and it is
- 0:03Speaker 2: the Week in Review.
- 0:04Speaker 1: Ben Ferguson with you.
- 0:06Speaker 2: And these are the big stories that you may have
- 0:08Speaker 2: missed that we talked about this past week. First up,
- 0:11Speaker 2: the Supreme Court is going to hear a serious case
- 0:15Speaker 2: that deals with Donald Trump Colorado and his name being
- 0:18Speaker 2: taken off the ballot.
- 0:20Speaker 1: They've decided to hear that.
- 0:21Speaker 2: So what does it mean for all the other lawsuits
- 0:24Speaker 2: in other states they're trying to take him off the ballot.
- 0:27Speaker 2: The Senator was going to give you all of that information,
- 0:30Speaker 2: especially about how the Supreme Court will work. That is
- 0:33Speaker 2: something very important. Plus, we have gotten now word that
- 0:36Speaker 2: there is real concerns inside the United States of America
- 0:41Speaker 2: of a coordinated terrorist attack at the hands of hesblah.
- 0:45Speaker 2: How would they get into this country? More than likely
- 0:48Speaker 2: it would be across our open southern border. And we'll
- 0:51Speaker 2: explain those details. And finally, when the Supreme Court, here's
- 0:56Speaker 2: this case with Colorado and Donald Trump. Is there a
- 1:01Speaker 2: chance that the Supreme Court will stand up for democracy
- 1:04Speaker 2: and a unanimous decision. Senator Cruz gives you his prediction
- 1:08Speaker 2: on exactly that it is that we can review and
- 1:11Speaker 2: it starts right now. How long are they going to
- 1:15Speaker 2: have to argue this? I mean when you talk about
- 1:17Speaker 2: oral arguments, is it is it hours?
- 1:19Speaker 1: Is it ninety minutes? What are we talking about?
- 1:22Speaker 3: Normally an argument is an hour, So normally each side
- 1:24Speaker 3: has thirty minutes. They can extend it. They might extend
- 1:27Speaker 3: it in this instance. I don't know, but normally an
- 1:30Speaker 3: argument is an hour. And the bulk of the argument,
- 1:33Speaker 3: by the way, is questioning from the justices. So you
- 1:36Speaker 3: get up and the justices are asking you questions, and
- 1:39Speaker 3: that it's a back and forth.
- 1:41Speaker 1: It's not a mind is an opening statement?
- 1:45Speaker 3: There is? There didn't used to be.
- 1:47Speaker 1: So the old way they.
- 1:49Speaker 3: Did Supreme Court arguments was you would start off, you'd
- 1:52Speaker 3: stand up and you'd say, mister Chief Justice, and may
- 1:54Speaker 3: it please the court, And every argument begins with that,
- 1:57Speaker 3: and you would sometimes get less than a sentence into
- 2:03Speaker 3: your argument and a justice would jump in and pepper
- 2:07Speaker 3: you with questions and what made it invigoratings? You'd have
- 2:10Speaker 3: a question here, a question here, question here, and it
- 2:12Speaker 3: was just non stop, and you had to be quick
- 2:16Speaker 3: and fast and anticipate justices who disagreed with your position.
- 2:20Speaker 3: They're trying to ask you questions to expose the weakness
- 2:22Speaker 3: of your case, and you had to anticipate it. They
- 2:26Speaker 3: have post COVID, they regimented it now, and I really
- 2:30Speaker 3: don't like how they do it now. But they now
- 2:33Speaker 3: have a period of questioning from each justice, and so
- 2:36Speaker 3: it's a little it's not the wild face.
- 2:39Speaker 2: It's almost like Congress, or you have five minutes, or
- 2:41Speaker 2: you have three minutes, and then you go in this order.
- 2:43Speaker 2: Whereas before it could be a conservative just as to
- 2:46Speaker 2: your question, followed up by a liberal justice to your question,
- 2:48Speaker 2: followed up by another justice asking your question.
- 2:50Speaker 3: It was it was control chaos, It was yes, and and.
- 2:54Speaker 3: But it is more regimented now. But I would say
- 2:58Speaker 3: I would expect the Chief Justice questions to lay out
- 3:01Speaker 3: in the questions what he think thinks is the best
- 3:05Speaker 3: theory to bring the court together. All right, let me
- 3:07Speaker 3: give the rest of Trump's arguments. Fourth argument he makes
- 3:11Speaker 3: is that Trump did not participate in an insurrection because
- 3:14Speaker 3: an insurrection, as understood at the time of passage of
- 3:17Speaker 3: the fourteenth Amendment, means the taking up of arms and
- 3:20Speaker 3: waging war upon the United States. Now, I think that's
- 3:24Speaker 3: absolutely correct. I think it's ludicrous to say that Trump
- 3:27Speaker 3: engaged in an insurrection based on the facts. I also
- 3:30Speaker 3: do not believe the Supreme Court will conclude that because
- 3:34Speaker 3: you can't get nine justices for that, and I think
- 3:37Speaker 3: they will want unanimity, and so they'll say, look, my
- 3:40Speaker 3: guess is we might get a concurrence from one of
- 3:43Speaker 3: the more conservative justices saying this clearly was not an insurrection,
- 3:49Speaker 3: but we might not. And by the way, look, I
- 3:51Speaker 3: said that there's a sixty to seventy percent chance of
- 3:54Speaker 3: it being unanimous. That means there's a forty to thirty
- 3:58Speaker 3: to forty percent chance that the liberal justices just hate
- 4:02Speaker 3: Trump so much they can't bring themselves to do it.
- 4:04Speaker 1: And what would that decision look like.
- 4:06Speaker 2: I mean, would it be one or two that say, hey,
- 4:07Speaker 2: just for the principle and said, n I know, we're going
- 4:09Speaker 2: to go seven to here, or even go six ' three.
- 4:13Speaker 3: Look six ' three would be heartbreaking. It would do
- 4:17Speaker 3: real day in this country to the Court and to
- 4:20Speaker 3: the country if it just broke on partisan lines. If
- 4:24Speaker 3: the three liberal justices dissented and the six more conservative
- 4:28Speaker 3: justices were in the majority, I think that would be
- 4:30Speaker 3: terrible for the Court. And I really hope it's not so.
- 4:39Speaker 3: The fifth argument that Trump made is that the electors
- 4:43Speaker 3: Clause requires states to appoint presidential electures quote, in such
- 4:49Speaker 3: matter as the legislature thereof may direct. In other words,
- 4:52Speaker 3: the courts can't intervene in that. The sixth argument is
- 4:57Speaker 3: that Section three can not be used to deny a
- 5:02Speaker 3: candidate access to the ballot. It can only be used
- 5:06Speaker 3: instead to prevent someone from holding office. So all of
- 5:11Speaker 3: those are arguments, as I said, and you know it's
- 5:16Speaker 3: and it's horse by the way, the argument that I
- 5:20Speaker 3: think will will fly is the argument that it was
- 5:27Speaker 3: not adequately determined that Trump had participated in insurrection, not
- 5:34Speaker 3: that there wasn't an insurrection, but that the means of
- 5:38Speaker 3: ascertaining that.
- 5:40Speaker 2: While that goes back to Jack Smith and what you're
- 5:42Speaker 2: talking about, he was never charged, much less convicted, and
- 5:45Speaker 2: it didn't work its way through the court system. And
- 5:48Speaker 2: so if you believe that Donald Trump in fact was
- 5:50Speaker 2: a part of an insurrection, then charge him with it,
- 5:53Speaker 2: get him convicted of it, then you have that different
- 5:55Speaker 2: argument goes back to what you were saying at the
- 5:56Speaker 2: very beginning.
- 5:58Speaker 3: Yes, and I will say, look, one of the questions
- 6:01Speaker 3: that will be front and center litigated is whether Section
- 6:06Speaker 3: three is self executing. Self executing means a provision of
- 6:10Speaker 3: the Constitution that has force of law, that doesn't need
- 6:13Speaker 3: Congress to pass legislation to enforce it, and that will
- 6:18Speaker 3: be actively disputed. And in the Colorado Supreme Court, one
- 6:26Speaker 3: of the justices, Justice Carlo Samour, dissented on this point.
- 6:31Speaker 3: And what he said is that the majority opinion of
- 6:33Speaker 3: Colorado stripped President Trump of due process of the due
- 6:37Speaker 3: process of law, and he says Section three didn't specify
- 6:41Speaker 3: the procedures that have to be followed to be determined
- 6:44Speaker 3: whether someone is engaged insurrection all the Democrats is absurd.
- 6:48Speaker 3: It's insurrection. It's insurrection, but that hasn't been determined as
- 6:51Speaker 3: a legal matter, and so Justice Samour concluded the Section
- 6:58Speaker 3: three is not self executing and requires legislation for enforcement.
- 7:03Speaker 3: And he argued that the lower courts proceeding in Colorado
- 7:10Speaker 3: lacked basic discovery, lacked the ability to subpoena documents, lacked
- 7:14Speaker 3: the ability to compel witnesses, lacked any time frame to
- 7:18Speaker 3: investigate or developed defenses, and lacked the opportunity for a
- 7:22Speaker 3: fair trial. And he pointed out that in his view,
- 7:30Speaker 3: section three cannot be self executing because it doesn't provide
- 7:35Speaker 3: any procedural guides. For example, Section three the fourteenth Amendment
- 7:39Speaker 3: is completely silent on whether a jury has to be
- 7:41Speaker 3: impaneled or not. Can a judge decide it? Or does
- 7:44Speaker 3: it have to be a jury your peer as well?
- 7:46Speaker 3: Section three doesn't say it. What's the burden of proof?
- 7:50Speaker 3: Is it beyond a reasonable doubt? Is clear and convincing evidence?
- 7:53Speaker 3: Is it simply a preponderance of the evidence. Those are
- 7:56Speaker 3: very different burdens of proof. Constitution is silence on that.
- 8:00Speaker 3: What's the standard of review, what's the standard of discovery,
- 8:02Speaker 3: what's the standard of evidence? Is it a civil determination
- 8:05Speaker 3: or criminal determination? None of that is there. And so
- 8:10Speaker 3: what he argues is that Congress could pass legislation to
- 8:15Speaker 3: adjudicate that. I'm not entirely persuaded on that. What I
- 8:20Speaker 3: would say is Congress has passed legislation when it's set
- 8:23Speaker 3: up a criminal statute for insurrection, that there is a
- 8:26Speaker 3: mechanism and it is a criminal trial.
- 8:30Speaker 2: And charge him and charge them. And so you go
- 8:32Speaker 2: back to the very beginning of what you said. No
- 8:35Speaker 2: one has had the knes to charge them because they
- 8:38Speaker 2: know they would lose.
- 8:39Speaker 3: You could not prove the case in court, which is
- 8:43Speaker 3: why instead you have partisan judges or a partisan Secretary
- 8:46Speaker 3: of State just asserting it because they believe it is
- 8:50Speaker 3: a political matter. Now, on our next podcast, what I
- 8:54Speaker 3: want to walk into and go into is there is
- 8:56Speaker 3: some history and some Supreme Court history on the Fourteenth
- 9:02Speaker 3: Amendment in section three right after the Civil War and
- 9:04Speaker 3: Jefferson Davis in particular. So I'm going to give a
- 9:08Speaker 3: tease for our next podcast. I'm going to walk through
- 9:11Speaker 3: what happened with Jefferson Davis under the Fourteenth Amendment Section three.
- 9:16Speaker 3: But let's be clear, Jefferson Davis, by any measure, engaged
- 9:21Speaker 3: in dramatically different conduct. Leading the Confederacy and waging war
- 9:26Speaker 3: with the United States for four years is very different
- 9:29Speaker 3: from giving a speech telling people to be peaceful and so.
- 9:33Speaker 3: But there is complicated precedent post Civil War. In the
- 9:39Speaker 3: next podcast, will dive into that.
- 9:40Speaker 2: It's going to be very fun. This is why I
- 9:42Speaker 2: love doing this show. I also will get your political predictions.
- 9:46Speaker 2: I do want to end with one last thing, just
- 9:48Speaker 2: so people have that timeline you mentioned earlier. Supreme Court's
- 9:52Speaker 2: going to hear this When and when do you think
- 9:54Speaker 2: we'll have a decision from the Supreme Court.
- 9:55Speaker 3: February eighth is when they hear the oral argument. I
- 9:59Speaker 3: think we will get a decision quickly. I think it's
- 10:01Speaker 3: possible it could be within days. I think it will
- 10:06Speaker 3: be at the very latest by March fifth, which is
- 10:09Speaker 3: when the Colorado primary is. And my guess is it'll
- 10:13Speaker 3: be a week or two. That's just It'll be as
- 10:15Speaker 3: quick as they can write the opinions. But I think
- 10:17Speaker 3: they will feel an urge to move quickly.
- 10:20Speaker 2: Now, if you want to hear the rest of this conversation,
- 10:23Speaker 2: you can go back and listen to the full podcast
- 10:26Speaker 2: from earlier this week. Now onto story number two. It's
- 10:30Speaker 2: not shocking, but it certainly is a sobering moment. We
- 10:33Speaker 2: know we have an open southern border. We know that
- 10:36Speaker 2: more of people on the terrace watch lists were caught
- 10:39Speaker 2: last year coming across the southern border in the last
- 10:42Speaker 2: five years before it combined. And now there's a new
- 10:45Speaker 2: report coming out from Politico that American intel officials are
- 10:49Speaker 2: warning of a risk of a HESBLO attack not just
- 10:53Speaker 2: on US men and women around the world and service
- 10:56Speaker 2: members and some of our bases, but also a real
- 11:00Speaker 2: elevated risk at home. Four officials familiar with the intelligence
- 11:05Speaker 2: have confirmed this to Politico that they're worried about attacks
- 11:10Speaker 2: here outside of what we've seen from ISIS and al Kada,
- 11:13Speaker 2: where it's lone wolf type attacks, where they could be
- 11:16Speaker 2: coming into this country, already in this country and planning
- 11:19Speaker 2: a major attack.
- 11:21Speaker 3: Well, I think that's exactly right. And I've said before,
- 11:24Speaker 3: I think the risk of a major terrorist attack in
- 11:27Speaker 3: twenty twenty four is greater than it has been at
- 11:31Speaker 3: any time since September eleventh, two thousand and one.
- 11:35Speaker 1: That we have right.
- 11:37Speaker 3: Down number one, a war the Middle East. In Israel,
- 11:41Speaker 3: Hamas and Hesbela have called upon their terrorists to wage
- 11:46Speaker 3: jahad not just against Israel but against America. And we
- 11:51Speaker 3: have an open border on our southern border due to
- 11:53Speaker 3: Joe Biden the Democrats, nine point six million people have
- 11:59Speaker 3: crossed illegally in this country under Joe Biden. When I
- 12:02Speaker 3: was last down on the southern border, I'm down there
- 12:04Speaker 3: a lot. Multiple border patrol agents told me they were
- 12:08Speaker 3: deeply concerned about the risk of Hamas terrorists and Hesbela
- 12:13Speaker 3: terrorists crossing the border because Joe Biden, it continues to
- 12:16Speaker 3: be an open border to this day. They could be
- 12:18Speaker 3: crossing right now as we are speaking, Hamas and Hesbela
- 12:22Speaker 3: terrists could be crossing in. And what is so frustrating
- 12:28Speaker 3: is if you were a Hamas commander, Ben, you would
- 12:32Speaker 3: send terrorists in. It's a glaring vulnerability that Joe Biden
- 12:37Speaker 3: the Democrats don't care to solve. So this political article
- 12:40Speaker 3: that just came out quoted a senior US intelligence official
- 12:45Speaker 3: is saying, and this is a quote Hesbela could draw
- 12:49Speaker 3: on the capability they have to put people in places
- 12:52Speaker 3: to do something. It is something to be worried about,
- 12:56Speaker 3: said the official. And this is consist st with We
- 13:00Speaker 3: did a previous podcast where we read the memo that
- 13:04Speaker 3: Customs and Border Patrol had sent to border patrol agents
- 13:07Speaker 3: saying be on particular guard for Hamas and Hesbala terrorists
- 13:11Speaker 3: and also Palestinian Islamic Jehad terrorists trying to cross the border.
- 13:16Speaker 3: And it is astonishing to me that even in the
- 13:21Speaker 3: face of that risk, which suddenly the FBI is publicly acknowledging.
- 13:25Speaker 3: We're six months ago, they were not acknowledging it, they
- 13:27Speaker 3: are now, And what that tells me is the classified
- 13:31Speaker 3: intel is even worse than what we know in public.
- 13:36Speaker 2: You know, you don't have to leap very far to
- 13:38Speaker 2: get from point A to point B on something as
- 13:41Speaker 2: simplistic of Hey, if you are a terrorist organization, are
- 13:44Speaker 2: you going to take the risk of putting people that
- 13:47Speaker 2: can be on the terrorists watch list on airplanes and
- 13:49Speaker 2: try to get them into the country that way? Or
- 13:51Speaker 2: are you just going to get them to come across
- 13:53Speaker 2: the southern open border when there's millions of people that
- 13:56Speaker 2: have already it's worked successfully for You know that if
- 13:59Speaker 2: you are not on the watch list and they catch you,
- 14:01Speaker 2: about eighty plus percent of your being released into the
- 14:04Speaker 2: interior of this country. And if you want to be
- 14:06Speaker 2: one of the godaways, it's not that hard. You've witnessed
- 14:09Speaker 2: it firsthand at the southern border. And yet this administration
- 14:13Speaker 2: refuses to admit that's a national security risk. And I
- 14:16Speaker 2: think even now if you ask them, they would refuse
- 14:19Speaker 2: to acknowledge the existence of a real terrorist threat because
- 14:24Speaker 2: of an open southern border. And you got to ask
- 14:26Speaker 2: yourself at that point, like what does it take for
- 14:29Speaker 2: them to get their heads out of the rear end?
- 14:30Speaker 2: Senator and understand This isn't just about an open border
- 14:34Speaker 2: a border policy, this is about a national security policy
- 14:39Speaker 2: as well.
- 14:41Speaker 3: Now, look, that's exactly right. You know. Christy Abazide, who
- 14:45Speaker 3: is the director of the National counter Terrorism Center, said
- 14:48Speaker 3: during a congressional hearing on October Here's what she said, quote,
- 14:52Speaker 3: Iran Hezbolah and their linked proxies are trying to calibrate
- 14:58Speaker 3: their activity, avoiding that would open up a concerted second
- 15:01Speaker 3: front with the United States or Israel, while still exacting
- 15:05Speaker 3: costs in the midst of the current conflict. This is
- 15:08Speaker 3: a very fine line to walk, and in the present
- 15:10Speaker 3: regional context, their actions carry the potential for miscalculation. This
- 15:16Speaker 3: is what they're admitting. Here's what Anthony Blink and the
- 15:21Speaker 3: Secretary of State said, quote this is a moment of
- 15:24Speaker 3: profound tension in the region. This is a conflict that
- 15:28Speaker 3: could easily metastasize. And yet even as they're admitting that
- 15:33Speaker 3: they're not willing to secure the border. Here's what Chris
- 15:36Speaker 3: Ray said in a congressional hearing on November fifteenth. Quote
- 15:40Speaker 3: the arrest of individuals in the United States allegedly linked
- 15:43Speaker 3: to Hesbela's main overseas terrorist arm and their intelligence collection
- 15:48Speaker 3: and procurement efforts demonstrate Hesbelah's interests in the long term
- 15:53Speaker 3: contingency planning activities here in the homeland. And none of
- 15:59Speaker 3: this is persuasive to Joe Biden, or Kamala Harris or
- 16:04Speaker 3: Alejandro Majorcis or any of the congressional Democrats who are
- 16:08Speaker 3: all willing to turn a blind eye and say, right now, today,
- 16:12Speaker 3: whenever you're listening to this podcast, if you're listening to
- 16:15Speaker 3: this podcast at six in the morning, if you're listening
- 16:18Speaker 3: to this podcast at noon, if you're listening to this
- 16:20Speaker 3: podcast at six pm, or if you're listening to this
- 16:22Speaker 3: podcast at midnight, whatever time you're listening to it, right now,
- 16:28Speaker 3: there are people crossing illegally into this country, and the
- 16:31Speaker 3: Biden administration is doing nothing to stop them. In the
- 16:34Speaker 3: last three years, there have been over two million god Aways.
- 16:39Speaker 3: Those are people that have evaded capture. We know about them,
- 16:43Speaker 3: but they didn't turn themselves in, whereas the bulk of
- 16:46Speaker 3: the people who came did turn themselves in. The god
- 16:48Speaker 3: Aways are the most dangerous. You want to know where
- 16:50Speaker 3: the terrorists are, they're the god Aways. You want to
- 16:52Speaker 3: know where the criminals are, They're the god aways, the murderers,
- 16:55Speaker 3: the rapists, they're the god aways. You want to know
- 16:57Speaker 3: where the gang members, the MS thirteen are the godaways?
- 17:01Speaker 3: And I don't know what it will take to get
- 17:04Speaker 3: this administration to actually step up and say we're going
- 17:09Speaker 3: to keep the American people safe from.
- 17:11Speaker 1: A terror attack? Is it arrogance?
- 17:13Speaker 2: Last question on this, is it arrogance that you know, oh,
- 17:17Speaker 2: we know better because there is a younger age that
- 17:22Speaker 2: is serving in the House now than we've seen that
- 17:24Speaker 2: maybe doesn't understand or remember truly what happened on nine
- 17:28Speaker 2: to eleven. Is it an arrogance of the Democratic Party
- 17:31Speaker 2: that they just don't care about history in the past.
- 17:33Speaker 2: I mean, I remember nine to eleven like it was yesterday.
- 17:37Speaker 2: I know you do as well, and many Americans do.
- 17:40Speaker 2: And when you hear this type of threat, you can
- 17:42Speaker 2: imagine it because you've lived through nine to eleven. You
- 17:45Speaker 2: can imagine what it looks like when you allow Hasbala
- 17:48Speaker 2: terrorists to come across the southern border and what they
- 17:51Speaker 2: can do if they are well trained, which they are,
- 17:54Speaker 2: and if they can get their hands on what they
- 17:56Speaker 2: need to carry out a significant tearist attack. And I said,
- 17:59Speaker 2: here and go, how do you not remember nine to eleven?
- 18:02Speaker 2: Where is the disconnect here?
- 18:04Speaker 3: Well, look for one thing, nine to eleven was twenty
- 18:07Speaker 3: two years ago. Twenty two years ago is a long time.
- 18:11Speaker 3: You and I. Although we think we're spring chickens, we're
- 18:14Speaker 3: not anymore. You're in your forties, I'm in my fifties.
- 18:18Speaker 3: There are a lot of people. There is not a
- 18:20Speaker 3: single college kid who remembers nine to eleven. There are
- 18:23Speaker 3: a lot of people in their thirties who nine to
- 18:26Speaker 3: eleven is a distant memory from their childhood. And look,
- 18:31Speaker 3: I get it, you know, for me, I think about
- 18:33Speaker 3: like Pearl Harbor. I know about Pearl Harbor. It's a
- 18:35Speaker 3: horrible day in history. It's a horrible day in US history.
- 18:38Speaker 3: But do I have a personal emotional reaction to Pearl Harbor. No,
- 18:43Speaker 3: it happened long before I was born, so it's kind
- 18:46Speaker 3: of I've read about it, but I didn't live through it.
- 18:49Speaker 3: So there is a dynamic that many people in America
- 18:52Speaker 3: were getting far enough beyond nine to eleven that many
- 18:55Speaker 3: people don't have a personal acute memory. And then I
- 18:59Speaker 3: think beyond that, what has happened is that we've seen
- 19:03Speaker 3: the Democrat Party in Washington radicalized and it's been happening
- 19:10Speaker 3: for a while. Barack Obama started this process of radicalizing it,
- 19:14Speaker 3: and then Trump becoming president broke their brains. They hate
- 19:19Speaker 3: Trump so much that I actually just think they've convinced
- 19:24Speaker 3: themselves that anything is justified fighting Trump, and the result
- 19:31Speaker 3: of it is that they're embracing radical policies. And because
- 19:35Speaker 3: the press, Trump broke the press, the media doesn't report
- 19:42Speaker 3: on this, and so the Democrats are radicalized because they
- 19:47Speaker 3: know they will never be asked back home about the
- 19:50Speaker 3: extreme policies they're supporting.
- 19:52Speaker 2: As before, If you want to hear the rest of
- 19:54Speaker 2: this conversation on this topic, you can go back and
- 19:57Speaker 2: dow the podcast from earlier this week to hear the
- 19:59Speaker 2: entire thing. I want to get back to the big story,
- 20:03Speaker 2: number three of the week. You may have missed one
- 20:06Speaker 2: other question I want to ask you about this case
- 20:09Speaker 2: moving forward. You predicted that this is going to be
- 20:12Speaker 2: probably a very stern Supreme Court on this issue with Colorado.
- 20:19Speaker 2: As your mind changed at all since we did part
- 20:22Speaker 2: one on that, I mean, you're back in DC. You've
- 20:24Speaker 2: seen I guess, more of the press reaction. You've seen
- 20:27Speaker 2: more of the reaction in Washington. Do you still think
- 20:30Speaker 2: that the Supreme Court is eager to not only take
- 20:32Speaker 2: us up, but also to say, hey, you can't in America.
- 20:36Speaker 2: In the United States of America right now, we let
- 20:38Speaker 2: the people decide. We don't let people, you know, dictate
- 20:42Speaker 2: who you can and can't vote for.
- 20:44Speaker 3: So let me say, I wouldn't say eager is the
- 20:46Speaker 3: right adjective. They're not eager. The Court would love to
- 20:51Speaker 3: stay out of this. They don't want to be involved
- 20:52Speaker 3: in this presidential election. They want to stay out of it.
- 20:56Speaker 3: But once Colorado ruled that they were pulling Trump off
- 20:59Speaker 3: the ballot, the Court had to get in. And I
- 21:02Speaker 3: actually think every justice recognized, Okay, we've got a responsibility.
- 21:08Speaker 3: We can't duck this. We've got to resolve this, because
- 21:11Speaker 3: this is the court exists to resolve the most important
- 21:16Speaker 3: legal issues in the country, particularly concerning the constitution, and
- 21:20Speaker 3: whether you will allow the voters to vote for a
- 21:24Speaker 3: candidate for president is right at the top of it.
- 21:28Speaker 3: Is difficult to imagine a more consequential constitutional issue than that.
- 21:33Speaker 3: And so I think every justice recognized, even though they
- 21:36Speaker 3: didn't want to be in this, they had a responsibility
- 21:39Speaker 3: and they really had no choice. Now, I also believe
- 21:42Speaker 3: the odds are overwhelming, close to one hundred percent that
- 21:47Speaker 3: the Supreme Court will reverse the Colorado Supreme Court. I
- 21:50Speaker 3: just I do not believe they are going to allow
- 21:55Speaker 3: one of the two major parties candidates for president to
- 21:58Speaker 3: be removed from the ballot and to tell the vot
- 22:00Speaker 3: voters you don't get to decide who the president is.
- 22:03Speaker 3: That is contrary to democracy. It is an assault on democracy. Ironically,
- 22:10Speaker 3: while Joe Biden is prancing around and proclaiming his defense
- 22:16Speaker 3: for democracy, he and the Democrats and the media are
- 22:20Speaker 3: trying to utterly frustrate democracy and stop the voters from
- 22:24Speaker 3: voting for their opponents. I think the Court is going
- 22:27Speaker 3: to easily reverse it, and I desperately hope. I got
- 22:31Speaker 3: to say, there are very few things I have hoped
- 22:34Speaker 3: for more passionately that I can recall than that. I
- 22:39Speaker 3: hope that this is unanimous. If it's six ' three,
- 22:42Speaker 3: if it's the Conservatives voting to reverse and the liberals
- 22:45Speaker 3: voting to affirm, that is bad for the Supreme Court.
- 22:49Speaker 3: It is bad for the country. It is bad for
- 22:50Speaker 3: the rule of law. It will cement the perception that
- 22:56Speaker 3: the Court is a political body. And that is disastrous
- 22:59Speaker 3: for the Court. I am certain that there is no
- 23:04Speaker 3: human being on the planet that feels that urgency more
- 23:07Speaker 3: intensely than Chief Justice John Roberts. I know John Roberts
- 23:10Speaker 3: very very well. We've been friends for thirty years. He
- 23:13Speaker 3: cares exquisitely about the legitimacy of the Supreme Court, and
- 23:19Speaker 3: so I think the Chief Justice is going to bed
- 23:21Speaker 3: over backwards to find any theory that would produce a
- 23:27Speaker 3: unanimous decision. There are lots of theories he could do.
- 23:30Speaker 3: The one I find most persuasive the one if I
- 23:34Speaker 3: had if Trump had offered me the Scalia seat and
- 23:38Speaker 3: I'd gotten the nomination in the place of Gorsa to
- 23:40Speaker 3: the Saiate. He confirmed me if I were a justice.
- 23:43Speaker 3: The theory that I would be inclined to agree with
- 23:47Speaker 3: is what I laid out on the last podcast, which
- 23:50Speaker 3: is it is absolutely true and I think correct that
- 23:57Speaker 3: if an individual engages in insurrection, they're not eligible to
- 24:03Speaker 3: be elected to federal office. I'm convinced of that. However,
- 24:09Speaker 3: what is not clear is how you determine whether someone
- 24:14Speaker 3: quote engaged in insurrection. As I described in the last podcast,
- 24:18Speaker 3: the Civil War was indisputably an insurrection. No one can
- 24:22Speaker 3: dispute that we had a four year war with six
- 24:25Speaker 3: hundred thousand dead Americans like it was. It is why
- 24:29Speaker 3: the Fourteenth Amendment, Section three was passed. It was in
- 24:32Speaker 3: response to the Civil War. It is the embodiment of
- 24:35Speaker 3: an insurrection. There is a real and acute debate over
- 24:40Speaker 3: whether what occurred on January sixth, twenty twenty one constitute
- 24:45Speaker 3: an insurrection. I think the answer is easy. I think
- 24:47Speaker 3: the answer is hell no. I don't think it remotely
- 24:49Speaker 3: reaches that level. But there are those who disagree. I
- 24:52Speaker 3: will acknowledge there's disagreement with almost every damned Democrat in
- 24:56Speaker 3: all the media. They say routine the insurrection, insurrection, and insurrection. However,
- 25:02Speaker 3: the constitutional question is how do you determine that someone
- 25:08Speaker 3: has engaged in an insurrection in the Civil War? Since
- 25:12Speaker 3: nobody disputed the Civil War was an insurrection, the only
- 25:15Speaker 3: question did you engage in it? So if you put
- 25:17Speaker 3: on a Confederate uniform, if you had stars stars on
- 25:20Speaker 3: your shoulder, you were guilty. Like that, it was easy
- 25:25Speaker 3: to determine whether you fell into that disqualification.
- 25:28Speaker 1: Yeah, it was. It was as simple as you could
- 25:30Speaker 1: make it at that point.
- 25:31Speaker 3: Yeah, there was no one disputed the Civil War was
- 25:34Speaker 3: an insurrection, and I'm not aware of anyone that disputed
- 25:38Speaker 3: if someone was in fact a Confederate officer. I don't
- 25:40Speaker 3: know have anyone that said, no, no, I wasn't a Confederate officer.
- 25:42Speaker 3: Like the two pieces were admitted, and so there was
- 25:47Speaker 3: no meaningful factual dispute here. There is a reason that
- 25:54Speaker 3: Jack Smith and every other prosecutor, that left wing prosecutor
- 25:58Speaker 3: that hates Donald Trump, that no, no buddy has charged
- 26:01Speaker 3: Trump with the crime of insurrection because you couldn't remotely
- 26:05Speaker 3: prove that. The facts don't demonstrate it. And so I
- 26:09Speaker 3: think the theory of the Supreme Court will say, and
- 26:13Speaker 3: I predicted a sentence from Look when this comes down,
- 26:16Speaker 3: and I think it'll come down, it'll be argued February eighth.
- 26:18Speaker 3: I'm going to predict it comes down February nineteenth. I'm
- 26:23Speaker 3: just pulling a date out. It will be some time
- 26:25Speaker 3: between February eighth and March fourth. I'm pulling a date
- 26:27Speaker 3: out of the air saying February nineteenth. When it comes down,
- 26:31Speaker 3: I'm predicting right now, there will be a sentence we
- 26:35Speaker 3: express no opinion over whether the events of January sixth,
- 26:39Speaker 3: twenty twenty one constitute an insurrection or not. However, in
- 26:45Speaker 3: order for the Fourteenth Amendment prohibition to apply, there needs
- 26:50Speaker 3: to be a conclusive determination that it was at insurrection.
- 26:55Speaker 3: And for those who urge Trump should be ineligible, or
- 27:00Speaker 3: the Biden Department of Justice, which has urged Trump should
- 27:02Speaker 3: be ineligible, they have a path to prove that case,
- 27:06Speaker 3: which is to charge him with insurrection and convict him
- 27:10Speaker 3: and obtain a final judgment that he is guilty of insurrection.
- 27:13Speaker 3: If they do so, he will be ineligible for office.
- 27:16Speaker 3: But they have not done so. And accordingly, this decision
- 27:21Speaker 3: should not be made by judges in Colorado or a
- 27:26Speaker 3: partisan unelected secretary of State in Maine, but rather the
- 27:30Speaker 3: decision of the next president should be made by the
- 27:32Speaker 3: voters and the American people. I think that that's what
- 27:37Speaker 3: I would rule if I were a justice. That is
- 27:39Speaker 3: the sort of opinion I would write. And my hope
- 27:42Speaker 3: is I really hope the liberal justices are not infected
- 27:49Speaker 3: by Trump derangement syndrome, like so many Democrats are, that
- 27:52Speaker 3: they recognize the damage to the court if they make
- 27:55Speaker 3: this a partisan decision, will be historic and a rep
- 28:00Speaker 3: so I pray they don't do that.
- 28:02Speaker 2: As always, thank you for listening to Verdict with Center,
- 28:05Speaker 2: Ted Cruz Ben Ferguson with you don't forget to deal
- 28:08Speaker 2: with my podcast and you can listen to my podcasts
- 28:10Speaker 2: every other day you're not listening to Verdict or each
- 28:12Speaker 2: day when you listen to Verdict. Afterwards, I'd love to
- 28:14Speaker 2: have you as a listener to again the Ben Ferguson
- 28:17Speaker 2: podcasts and we will see you back here on Monday morning.