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Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets

"Earnings drive market outcomes. In 151 years, every single 20% market decline was accompanied by a double-digit earnings decline, with zero exceptions." Every few months, a new reason to sell arrives. Capital spending is too high. The deficit is unsustainable. Oil just broke out. The conclusion attached to each is always the same: investors are about to lose half their money. I've watched that warning recycle for three decades, and it's a smoke detector that goes off every time somebody makes toast. What actually matters is far less exciting. Earnings drive market corrections, and the…

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